Tag Archives: 2010 Election

How Biden Decision Screws Dems Statewide

“I’ve always depended on the kindness of strangers.”-Blanche DuBois from Tennessee Williams’ “A Streetcar Named Desire”.

So have down-ballot candidates in every election. The top of the ticket drives out the voters, and those further down the ballot benefit or suffer based on who is motivated to vote in any given election cycle.

Now, riddle me this, Batman. With two non-competitive races apparently heading this year’s ballot, how the bleep are the Democrats gonna drive out their voters? No presidential, no gubernatorial, two statewide offices that nobody gives a bleep about, and, frankly, I, for one, couldn’t care less whether the Beaudhisattva gets reelected. And, other than the rabid Archmere groupies, I don’t think most D’s do either. Bottom line: The D’s are in trouble, and are clearly in danger of losing the State House of Representatives. To a large degree, regardless of how good a job a given Rep is doing, if they’re in a swing district, they’re in trouble.

It was always gonna be a difficult landscape for Democrats. With a tanked economy nationally and locally, and people looking for instant solutions, incumbents are vulnerable. And D’s are especially vulnerable as they’ve proven themselves incapable of developing and advancing a coherent message.

The one saving grace was a high-profile Senate race that would drive all the loyalists out. A high-profile race engineered by the Bidenistas with the passive acquiescence of Gov. Chicken  ‘n Dumplings.

I HATE these family dynasties. However, once the deal was cut, the Beaudhisattva was obligated to follow through, and the Bidens were obligated to make it happen. But they didn’t. No doubt Joe will puff out his chest and tell everyone that Beau displayed extraordinary integrity in making this choice. Bullshit. The Beaudhisattva has shrunk in office and, now, has shrunk from it. Time for pere to find fils a nice position in the ‘investment industry’.

For the D’s in the House, you’re gonna have to survive on your own. Acting like Democrats for a change must be Step One. If all that you do this year is cut and cut, you inevitably are cutting services that those most at risk (and most likely to be D’s) want and need. You know that the R’s are just gonna obstruct. Start by making the wealthy pay their fair share by reversing the trend towards a flat tax for the millionaires. Save programs with those $$’s and dare Rethugs to oppose them.

In addition to funding essential programs at the expense of the flat-taxers, and enabling Democrats to run like Democrats, it will also raise taxes on the self-entitled Bidens. Maybe they need to be reminded how the other half lives.

Beau Biden Doesn’t Want to Run for Senate? — UPDATED x2

That is the teaser headline in an article in today’s NJ — VP Biden: Beau doesn’t want to run.

Vice President Biden sat down for an interview with Harry Themal (ed. fixed spelling) and at then end, Themal reports this exchange:

Our conversation ended with a surprising request from the vice president as he hurried off to a national security meeting. Spontaneously, he turned to the possible Delaware senatorial campaign of his son Beau.

Biden: “If you run into Beau, talk him into running; he respects you.”

Me: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”

Biden: “I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t want to. … I’m so proud of the job he’s done [as attorney general].”

Me: “Would you campaign for him [against Republican Mike Castle]?”

Biden: “Hell, yes. I told him I’d give him my sixth-born grandchild.”

Biden’s recent campaign finance report doesn’t show alot of activity, certainly not of the level needed to run a Senatorial race. And here we have his dad asking a NJ editor to talk to Beau. This definitely seems to comport with the read alot of people have made of Beau’s status — he still hasn’t gotten totally behind being in the family business, even though alot of people have been pushing him in that direction.

And frankly, if his heart isn’t in it, he shouldn’t run.

So you read the tea leaves — what do you think is going on here?

UPDATED to include this link that commenter newsjournalsucks provides below to a piece by Chris Cilizza at the WaPo — where Biden’s office says that Themal misreported the exchange above. They claim that it was about getting Themal to convince Ted Kaufmann to run. Which the Vice President would not do if he was really certain that Beau would run, right?

UPDATE2 — again, thanks to commenter newsjournalsucks below. Politico also reports on the transcript provided from the VP’s office of the Themal interview. Then, the News Journal changes the on-line title of their article to — VP Biden on the Senate’s “lamentable atmosphere” and lists this correction with the article:

An earlier version of Harry Themal’s column incorrectly said Vice President Biden said his son, Attorney General Beau Biden, did not want to run for the U.S. Senate. Vice President Biden was referring to Sen. Ted Kaufman, who currently holds the seat and has said he will not run for the seat in the November election.

They also deleted the text above supposedly quoting VP Biden.

Rethugs Float Newark Developer as Carney Opponent

Bill Stritzinger, whose main claim to fame appears to be trying to build 280 houses on the Newark Country Club site, has been seen making the rounds in Leg Hall, escorted by Monsignor Greg Lavelle, as a prelude to a candidacy against John Carney for the U. S. House of Reps seat. It makes perfect sense for Lavelle. Pushing someone who would turn verdant green space into suburban clutter anywhere else but his own district is right up his alley.

Of course, Stritzinger doesn’t see it that way. He, of course, is merely expanding the City of Newark’s tax base. The gist of the project is that he would build a golf course/residential community just across the state line in Cecil County, MD., and would redevelop the Newark Country Club site for McMansions.

The proposed project, known pejoratively as Stritzingerville, has encountered problems and has raised some serious ethical questions. Nancy Willing wrote about this back in 2008, and it deserves reading now. Stritzinger makes clear in comments before the Cecil County Comprehensive Planning Oversight Committee that sewer requirements are ‘too burdensome and excessive… and lead to higher housing costs’. Right, why do septic when you can just dump waste into the river?

More on the pros and cons of the project from Newark City Councilman Ezra Temko’s website. The comments really flesh out the issues.

Anyway, this appears to be Stritzinger’s sole would-be accomplishment. Rethugs and others are invited to provide others.

If this indeed is the best that the Rethugs can offer, I say, “Bring it on.”

Nothing Delawareans like better than suburban sprawl and greedy developers.

The Good News and the Bad News of Senator Dodd’s Retirement

The Good:

With AG Blumenthal in, this seat is definitely safer for Democrats. Public Policy Polling had a poll in the field this week and the results are quite good for Blumenthal:

When Chris Dodd retired last night his seat went from one of the most vulnerable to one of the safest for Senate Democrats. Attorney General Richard Blumenthal leads all three of the Republicans in the race by at least 30 points in polling we conducted Monday and Tuesday night before Dodd’s announcement.

Blumenthal is unusually popular, especially in hyper partisan times when voters like few politicians. 59% have a favorable opinion of him to just 19% who see him negatively. It’s no surprise that he’s liked by 71% of Democrats and 60% of independents, but even Republicans view him favorably by a 37/35 margin. It doesn’t take a lot of hands to count the number of Democratic politicians with positive numbers among GOP voters these days.

Blumenthal leads Rob Simmons 59-28, Linda McMahon 60-28, and Peter Schiff 63-23. It would take an epic collapse for him not to be Connecticut’s next Senator.

Blumenthal also has polls for favorability 59/19 and includes a plurality of Republicans in the state.

Congressman Chris Murphy (CT-5) also was polling ahead of all repub candidates by 7 – 16 points, which seems to mean that Dodd was the issue, not anti-Dem sentiments especially.

The Bad:

1. Senator Tim Johnson (SD) becomes chair of the Banking Committee. Senator Johnson really loves banks.

2. Blumenthal was widely expected to be the Lieberman-killer in 2012. Now who’s up?

Rep. Thornburg Also Retiring, According to Celia

This is also really big news from Celia Cohen. Rep. Pam Thornburg (R-Dover West) also announced her retirement at the same Caucus meeting where Bill Oberle announced his. She will become administrator of the Delaware Farm Bureau, a position from which she will no doubt lobby her former colleagues.

This is huge b/c Thornburg barely won reelection against Trey Paradee in 2008. In fact, the first count showed that Paradee had won, Thornburg congratulated him, but a recount showed that Thornburg had indeed prevailed.

If, as I urged here, Paradee has continued to maintain a visible profile in the district, this seat could likely flip to the D column in 2010. I would strongly encourage Paradee to get moving ASAP to discourage prospective R’s from even considering this race. The secret to winning on the second try is by continuing to run after losing the first time. That doesn’t necessarily mean doing door-to-door in the off year (although that really helps), but in appearing at events, community meetings and the like.

Trey, if you haven’t been doing this, then the clock starts now.  You are the de facto incumbent. Do what an incumbent would do, listen to and, as best as possible, represent your constituents. You’re welcome.

As I wrote in April, 2009, when I first profiled this district, the registration #’s are good, not great. Back then, they were 6938 D’s, 5567 R’s, and 4119 I’s. They are now 7192 D’s, 5687 R’s and 4302 I’s, marginally better D numbers, but certainly a highly-competitive district.

If Trey Paradee effectively preempts a Rethug challenger by working hard starting today, he wins. It’s that simple.

Otherwise, whether he runs or not, this will be a real (to borrow a Danny Ozark malapropism) cliff-dweller.  Your choice, Trey.

Two of El Somnambulo’s Top 10 targets down, eight to go…

Senator Dorgan (D-ND) Retiring

Via the WaPo — Senator Byron Dorgan announced today that he would be retiring at the end of his term:

North Dakota Democratic Sen. Byron Dorgan will not run for re-election later this year, creating a major pickup opportunity for Republicans.

“After a lot of thought I have made the very difficult decision that I will not be seeking reelection in 2010, ” Dorgan wrote in a memo to staff distributed this afternoon. “This decision is not a reflection of any dissatisfaction with my work in the Senate, nor is it connected to a potential election contest next fall (frankly, I believe if I were to run for another term I would be reelected).”

Dorgan was facing a potentially serious re-election race against Gov. John Hoeven (R) in November. He was first elected to the Senate in 1992 and, despite the clear GOP lean of the state, hadn’t faced a serious re-election challenge since then.

Dorgan is the first Democratic senator to announce his retirement this cycle. Six Republican senators, in Florida, Ohio, Missouri, New Hampshire, Kansas and Kentucky, are not running for re-election in 2010.

I’m not so sure that this is much of a surprise (Dorgan was a question in 2004) and certainly much of the media is having on about how bad this is for Democrats. At least some things do not change. Dorgan is one of he good guys (mostly) and certainly way more progressive than Conrad. Dorgan correctly called the catastrophe that would happen by repealing Glass-Seagall and was at the forefront of the effort to dismantle the regulations against re-importation of prescription drugs.

The real thing that isn’t much of a surprise is that Democrats will not have a 60 vote majority after the 2010 election. The repubs won’t get control of the chamber back, but some seats will be lost. There is some speculation of getting Earl Pomeroy to run, but frankly I think that this seat may be one to let go (provided Hoeven does indeed run) and concentrate on the many seats where it is possible to pick up to hold the line.

Has Delaware’s 2010 Biggest Political Blunder Already Taken Place?

Unless there’s an even bigger example of political and policy stupidity waiting in the wings, the answer is Yes, and it was announced in December of 2009.

This example of political and public policy malpractice, unless reversed, will likely lead to the Democrats losing control of the State House of Representatives. And it will be on merit. More specifically, proof that the serial cellar-dwellers do not deserve to actually run the place, mainly because they refuse to govern as Democrats. After all, there’s a reason why they languished in the minority for 24 years. And, despite languishing, there was never a serious challenge to their alleged political mastermind, Bob Gilligan. But, I’m getting ahead of myself.

You may have missed it, but Unstable Isotope blogged about the meeting where this losers’ strategy was unveiled.

The mind boggles at what Speaker Gilligan said at this Progressive Democrats of Delaware meeting:

Gilligan told us that they expect at least a $300M-$400M budget gap next year (that’s before the additional job losses in Delaware City were announced) and and he said point blank that they are not going to raise taxes again. Therefore the budget gap is going to be closed by slashing programs. He didn’t know if state workers were going to take another hit, but he thought that they probably wouldn’t get their pay cut back next year. The state programs mentioned by Gilligan were the following:

Medicaid – Gilligan discussed the “Missouri solution” which was to toughen Medicaid eligibility
Universities – Gilligan said that three state universities were a lot for a state with a population of less than 1M people.
SEED – Gilligan stated that the state now pays for 15 years of school: full day Kindergarten, grades 1-12 and 2 years of college at Del Tech.
Parks – Gilligan stated that the state took over some of the city/county parks in the last decade which has added to the budget woes.

I don’t know if Speaker Gilligan is speaking for himself, his caucus, or for the Governor.

But I do know that this is a one-way ticket to political Palookaville if ever I saw one. The people who got screwed the most in 2009 are gonna get even more royally screwed in 2010. Oh, and they just happen to be core groups of a Democratic electoral coalition.  Brilliant. Do any of these elected officials actually spend time in their districts anymore listening to their constituents, or do they all now have places down in Fenwick?

This is a public policy disaster because the very services that Gilligan says are earmarked for cuts are precisely the kind of services that people need. Especially Democratic people. Especially during an economic downturn. Cut health care for the poor? Check. Deny students the chance to get an education, including college, even if they can’t afford one? Check. Cutting back on education creating a less-prepared workforce to lead us out of recession and to make Delaware more competitive? Check. Continuing to screw state workers? Check.

And these are merely the cuts that Gilligan has discussed publicly. You can bet that there’ll be others, which means that those who depend on state services, primarily Democrats, will fall through the safety net.   This means that, for two consecutive years, a Democratic administration and an allegedly Democratic General Assembly plan to balance the budget on the backs of its core constituents. Sheer genius. You can bet that working people just can’t wait to go to the polls to thank the Honorables for screwing them. And Gilligan is saying it openly a year before the election. Because, of course, there is simply no other way to help balance the budget. Except that there is, and everybody knows it.

And that’s why this is also a political disaster waiting to happen. Even before the General Assembly reconvenes, Bob Gilligan has announced that his Caucus is unilaterally disarming itself from its most powerful weapon from both a policy and political standpoint. That weapon is restoring progressivity to the Delaware Tax Code by increasing PIT rates for those making over (give or take) $100,000/year.

Delaware now has a flat tax for those earning over $60,000 annually. It wasn’t always this way. Starting with Steve Forbes’ doppelganger, Crazy Uncle Pierre (whose family benefited more than anyone else), and continuing through the administrations of Metamucil Mike and Robocarper, the top rates were cut and consolidated to the point where the To the Manor Born set pays the same rate on its income as do police, firefighters, and most middle-class professionals. Simply put, all the progressivity has been wrung from Delaware’s Tax Code, and the only people who have benefited are the very wealthy. That may have been OK during the go-go boom times, when Delaware’s economy was literally built on a house of (credit) cards, but it is unconscionable today.

Yet here we have the Democratic Speaker of the House proclaiming that all tax hikes are off the table. And they should be off the table for those in the middle class and working poor who are suffering from the double whammy of increased taxes and fewer services. But to not raise taxes on those who have gamed the system for 30 years now is, I don’t know any other word for it, stupid.

Look at the politics. D’s propose restoring progressivity to the tax code by raising the brackets on the well-to-do. Maybe it passes (I think it ultimately would), maybe it doesn’t. Either way, Dems have their issue: Times were bad, everybody had to sacrifice, and the bluebloods were finally made to share in that sacrifice. That’s one way to get D voters out in November, by letting them know that their legislators really are on their side.

From a Rethug standpoint, this is their worst nightmare. We already know, based on last June’s antics, that the R’s will try to get away with doing nothing,  and simply lay the blame on the D’s. Dick Cathcart will once again be crying crocodile tears for state workers. And he can get away with it if D’s don’t call their bluff.  OK, call their bluff, Speaker Gilligan:  “Stand with us in protecting those who have been hardest hit by requiring those who have had it real good to sacrifice for the common good.”

The House R’s would then have two choices: grudgingly free up enough votes for some sort of tax on the wealthy, or face the blame for budgetary gridlock by refusing to ask the silverspoonistas to ante up a bit of their filthy lucre. Either way, it’s a political lose for them. Contributions from the Greenville crowd that bankrolls all their campaigns slow, and/or they are forced to explain why the privileged  few are immune from sacrificing anything, unlike everybody else.  And the D’s should stand firm on this. Don’t compromise it to death. There will still have to be cuts, but this will generate a significant amount of revenue, improve the Ds electoral chances, and let everyone know that they’re not just paying lip service to their core constituencies.

Failing that, the D’s will have to seek reelection on the theme of  “We made the tough decisions that had to be made.” And that’s true, to an extent.

But if they lose their House majority, it will be because they didn’t make the easy choices that were staring them in the face. At least their staff now has experience in moving the furniture. And it’s all downhill to the basement.

Is Sen. Venables An “Honored Guest” At A Fundraiser for Colin Bonini?

It sure looks like it.(pdf)

Now this pdf letter lacks any real official markings, but it is being circulated as an official invite. And now you are asking yourself why a Senator belonging to the Democratic caucus is an Honored Guest or a Sponsor or Host for a fundraiser for a Republican candidate for Treasurer, when his own party has two candidates running for the same position. And how does a Senator belonging to the Democratic caucus actually decide to look favorably on a run by Republican Senator with a known problem with innumeracy?

A letter (also in circulation) from prominent Sussex Co Democratic leader to the Senate Democratic Leadership asks precisely about this and called for — if true — that Senator Venables be relieved of his Senate Leadership positions. And quite rightly, too. In the meantime, I’m checking on the docs that I received to make sure that they are both the real deal. But I can’t imagine what Venables is thinking here, supporting Delaware’s Human Teabag.

(h/t anonymous commenter)

Hot Stove League: Republican Gains in 2010, Not So Fast

For those political junkies out there, Bob Benenson of CQ Politics has an analysis of the 2009 elections and what they may or may not mean for 2010: GOP Comeback: Not So Fast.

But there’s a significant amount of countervailing evidence [to claims of a GOP resurgence] , not only in the relative handful of election returns from last week but also in the current polling about the national political environment and in the race-by-race assessments of the midterm campaigns for Congress, which by history’s guide will inevitably turn on voter views of the first two years of this presidency.

With a look at exit polls from Virginia and New Jersey as well as an overall look at House and Senate seats, Benenson article is a must read.

First Looks at Fred Cullis, DE-AL Candidate

From WDEL — Mr. Cullis is a Hockessin republican that no one has heard of apparently. From WDEL’s video — he was not happy with Castle’s vote on cap and trade, but he is making the “independent voice” noises which bears alot of watching. Traditionally, this “independent” claim by repubs means that they are a stalking horse for the usual failed policies and programs — just trying to disguise the level of lockstep he’ll get to. He has a website, with some position papers taking these basic positions:

  1. Energy — cap and trade has to be defeated because it is “unproven” and makes alot of claims and statements that simply are not true. He is a fan of nuclear energy and of drill baby drill.
  2. Federal Spending — Its all bad! Really! And Congress isn’t reading bills! Lots of exclamation points do not adequately mask the fact that here is one more repub without a basic grasp of either economics or the current state of economic play. This is a freeze spending guy. But no real solutions offered and no discussion of what Americans will live without in terms of services if he could somehow get the Congress to stop spending. Really!
  3. Health Care Reform — if you saw the BoehnerCare document — already roundly rejected by Congress — you’ve seen this very weak tea before.
  4. Immigration — more of the usual fear and loathing, but this time with a dis against Ronald Reagan’s amnesty program. But while there is the usual immigrants are the bane of our existence rhetoric, he proposes Not One Thing to address the immediate issues with immigration — as in what to do with the people already here. In this Cullis seems quite content to do the usual repub bait and switch here — lots of fear and loathing and law enforcement re: closing borders; but he is not going to disturb the business interests who badly need those immigrants to continue working here.

So the short story is — so far you are not talking about a “New Ideas” kinda guy (which are pretty much extinct in the GOP anyway) or even one who has been able to demonstrate (via these position papers anyway) a real grasp of either policy or issues. He’s got a year though to work this out, so we’ll keep a good look out.

The Next Elected Office Mike Protack Will Lose

3rd NCCo Council District.

This is an interesting article — one that details Protack’s long-time losing streak and continues the tradition of local Republican Party officials running away from him or trying not to acknowledge his existence. If this is the candidate that NCCo Chair Fleming ends up with that is not an especially auspicious start of this chairmanship. Although it it something of a piece with their “new ideas” for the County largely lifted from Nancy Willing’s blog; Mike Matthews’ (currently inactive) blog to a lesser extent and an occasional foray by this blog.

You’d think that a rebuilding effort would involve building on issues that the local repubs have been pushing (not just taking others’ idea without attribution) and fielding candidates who don’t bring with them their losing teabagger entourages. I have no idea what issues and ideas they’ve been bringing to the table over the years — but a look at their “ideas list” indicates that the NCCo Republican Committee doesn’t know either.

But they do have Protack,his rumored history of not paying his consultants (from a guy who says that the fiscal picture needs mature minds! what a card) and his really bad campaigns. Good luck with that!

BREAKING: BIDEN / CASTLE TIED (Updated with more numbers)

A new Research 2000 poll is out concerning both the Senate and House races, and other elected officials in Delaware:

Research 2000. 10/12-14. Likely voters. MoE 4% (no trend lines)
Link: http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/DE/395

Beau Biden (D) 45
Mike Castle (R) 46

From Daily Kos:

It couldn’t be any tighter in this marquee matchup. Castle leads other potential match ups (Castle 51 Kaufman 37, Castle 49, Carney 41, Castle 51 Coons 39), but the Biden-Castle one is most likely because the political establishment loves its monarchies, and so do the voters. Interestingly, while Castle has solid Republican support (82-9), Biden gets less than three-quarters of Democrats (72-21). Independents lean toward Castle (48-40). If Biden brings Democrats home, it gets much harder for Castle to win.

Both Castle and Biden have nearly identical approval ratings as well, providing perhaps the most even matchup of the cycle. While some prognosticators are already slotting this race as a “lean Republican”, the data suggests this is about as pure a “toss-up” as you can have in politics.

We also polled Democrat John Carney in two potential House matchups, and the Democrat has a huge early lead. That race isn’t expected to be competitive giving Democrats an easy pickup of Castle’s vacated seat.

Make sure you see the complete results at the link. I’ll try to post them up shortly, but there is a lot of data on Fav/Unfav on alot of our favorite targets.

FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE

  VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
BIDEN 29 36 15 14 6
KAUFMAN 15 21 13 13 38
CARNEY 19 22 10 9 40
COONS 16 18 5 3 58
CASTLE 26 38 18 12 6
COPELAND 5 6 4 4 81
LAVELLE 3 6 3 3 85
MARKELL 24 31 16 12 17
CARPER 24 29 17 14 16
OBAMA 30 34 17 15 4

 

Beau Biden

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 65 29 6
MEN 61 35 4
WOMEN 69 23 8
DEMOCRATS 86 9 5
REPUBLICANS 30 66 4
INDEPENDENTS 71 19 10
18-29 71 23 6
30-44 66 27 7
45-59 64 32 4
60+ 60 33 7

Ted Kaufman

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 36 26 38
MEN 33 30 37
WOMEN 39 22 39
DEMOCRATS 57 9 34
REPUBLICANS 6 58 36
INDEPENDENTS 33 17 50
18-29 39 23 38
30-44 38 25 37
45-59 34 27 39
60+ 33 31 36

John Carney

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 41 19 40
MEN 37 23 40
WOMEN 45 15 40
DEMOCRATS 62 6 32
REPUBLICANS 10 46 44
INDEPENDENTS 41 10 49
18-29 44 17 39
30-44 43 17 40
45-59 39 21 40
60+ 38 22 40

Chris Coons

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 34 8 58
MEN 32 8 60
WOMEN 36 8 56
DEMOCRATS 54 4 42
REPUBLICANS 7 16 77
INDEPENDENTS 29 6 65
18-29 37 6 57
30-44 36 6 58
45-59 32 10 58
60+ 31 11 58

Mike Castle

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 64 30 6
MEN 69 28 3
WOMEN 59 32 9
DEMOCRATS 45 49 6
REPUBLICANS 84 11 5
INDEPENDENTS 77 16 7
18-29 59 34 7
30-44 63 31 6
45-59 66 28 6
60+ 68 27 5

Charlie Copeland

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 11 8 81
MEN 13 7 80
WOMEN 9 9 82
DEMOCRATS 7 12 81
REPUBLICANS 18 3 79
INDEPENDENTS 9 7 84
18-29 7 9 84
30-44 10 8 82
45-59 12 7 81
60+ 13 7 80

Greg Lavelle

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 9 6 85
MEN 10 6 84
WOMEN 8 6 86
DEMOCRATS 5 9 86
REPUBLICANS 16 2 82
INDEPENDENTS 7 6 87
18-29 5 8 87
30-44 8 6 86
45-59 11 5 84
60+ 11 5 84

Jack Markell

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 55 28 17
MEN 51 33 16
WOMEN 59 23 18
DEMOCRATS 76 7 17
REPUBLICANS 22 64 14
INDEPENDENTS 58 21 21
18-29 58 25 17
30-44 56 27 17
45-59 54 29 17
60+ 52 32 16

Tom Carper

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 53 31 16
MEN 49 36 15
WOMEN 57 26 17
DEMOCRATS 74 9 17
REPUBLICANS 21 65 14
INDEPENDENTS 54 29 17
18-29 56 27 17
30-44 54 30 16
45-59 52 32 16
60+ 49 35 16

Barack Obama

  FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 64 32 4
MEN 58 39 3
WOMEN 70 25 5
DEMOCRATS 87 10 3
REPUBLICANS 26 69 5
INDEPENDENTS 69 25 6
18-29 72 25 3
30-44 65 30 5
45-59 62 35 3
60+ 57 37 6

QUESTION: Beau Biden v. Mike Castle?

  BEAU BIDEN MIKE CASTLE UNDECIDED
ALL 45 46 9
MEN 40 52 8
WOMEN 50 40 10
DEMOCRATS 72 21 7
REPUBLICANS 9 82 9
INDEPENDENTS 40 48 12
18-29 48 42 10
30-44 47 44 9
45-59 43 48 9
60+ 42 51 7

QUESTION: Castle v. Kaufman?

  TED KAUFMAN MIKE CASTLE UNDECIDED
ALL 37 51 12
MEN 33 57 10
WOMEN 41 45 14
DEMOCRATS 63 24 13
REPUBLICANS 5 86 9
INDEPENDENTS 28 58 14
18-29 40 47 13
30-44 39 49 12
45-59 35 53 12
60+ 34 57 9

Castle v. Carney?

  JOHN CARNEY MIKE CASTLE UNDECIDED
ALL 41 49 10
MEN 37 54 9
WOMEN 45 44 11
DEMOCRATS 68 23 9
REPUBLICANS 6 85 9
INDEPENDENTS 33 53 14
18-29 45 44 11
30-44 43 47 10
45-59 39 51 10
60+ 37 54 9

Castle v. Coons?

  CHRIS COONS MIKE CASTLE UNDECIDED
ALL 39 51 10
MEN 35 56 9
WOMEN 43 46 11
DEMOCRATS 65 25 10
REPUBLICANS 5 86 9
INDEPENDENTS 31 57 12
18-29 43 46 11
30-44 41 50 9
45-59 37 53 10
60+ 34 56 10

John Carney v. Copeland?

  JOHN CARNEY CHARLIE COPELAND UNDECIDED
ALL 44 21 35
MEN 41 25 34
WOMEN 47 17 36
DEMOCRATS 69 6 25
REPUBLICANS 8 43 49
INDEPENDENTS 42 21 37
18-29 47 17 36
30-44 46 19 35
45-59 42 23 35
60+ 40 26 34

Carney v. Greg Lavelle?

  JOHN CARNEY GREG LAVELLE UNDECIDED
ALL 45 18 37
MEN 42 22 36
WOMEN 48 14 38
DEMOCRATS 71 5 24
REPUBLICANS 8 38 54
INDEPENDENTS 43 16 41
18-29 49 15 36
30-44 47 16 37
45-59 43 20 37
60+ 40 23 37

Demographics

MEN 283 47%
WOMEN 317 53%
DEMOCRATS 280 47%
REPUBLICANS 188 31%
INDEPENDENTS/OTHER 132 22%
18-29 107 18%
30-44 187 31%
45-59 217 36%
60+ 89 15%