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Thursday Open Thread, June 16, 2016

Filed in National by on June 16, 2016 7 Comments
Thursday Open Thread, June 16, 2016

Josh Marshall:

There’s no magic to Trump’s political showmanship. The magic we saw through the Spring was a unique bond, a sort of mindmeld of white backlash and derp Trump built on an inspired intuition into the mind of the base of the Republican party. Provocation and offense didn’t hurt Trump because … he was preaching to an audience that yearned for both as positive goods. Campaigning in front of a general election audience today it’s all working quite differently. Over the last two days I heard report after report from our team on Capitol Hill about Senators who were refusing to answer questions about Trump, simply walking away when asked about him, or in a growing number of cases, after his harrowing and unhinged speech on Monday, openly attacking him. [...]

A month ago Republican elected officials were unenthusiastically but resolutely rallying around Trump. Since then they’ve slowly been reduced to a public and political version of a family dealing with a hopeless addict or a degenerate gambler. They keep saying, insisting he’ll change, only to have him provide more evidence he can’t, won’t and has no intention to. Their very indulgence seems to prompt more unbridled behavior.

The disgraceful way Trump handled the hours after the Orlando atrocity seems to have confirmed for many Republicans that Trump will never change or pivot or whatever other phrase we’re now using. It’s not an act. It’s him. How this couldn’t have been clear months ago is a topic for the psychology of denial and wishful thinking. But now it seems clear. [...]

The question is how long this can last. Pretty much daily, major Republican leaders don’t just disagree with Trump but denounce him in pretty round terms, even as they remain at least nominal endorsers of his candidacy and accept him as the leader of their party. That is entirely unprecedented in modern American political history.

It doesn’t seem sustainable.

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“Dem to win White House” hits $0.75, a new high close on IEM

Filed in National by on June 16, 2016 7 Comments
“Dem to win White House” hits $0.75, a new high close on IEM

I track the futures trading markets rather than polls because people are betting on outcomes with real money, and therefor stand to make (or lose) real money. That clears out the fanboys and pretenders. Of the predicting markets, I tend to look at IEM (Iowa Electronic Markets) because they have the history and larger volume of trades. So when I see “Dem to win White House” closing at $0.75, I’m impressed. [$0.75 means that people are buying and trading "Futures Contracts" called "Dem to win White House" for $0.75. If they hold onto them, those contracts will pay off $1.00 if/when that outcome happens. The more likely that outcome becomes, the close the trading price gets to $1.00]

As a point of comparison, at on this day in 2008, “Dem to win White House” closed at $0.60.

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Carper Joined Chris Murphy’s Successful Filibuster – Coons MIA

Filed in National by on June 16, 2016 34 Comments
Carper Joined Chris Murphy’s Successful Filibuster – Coons MIA

Delaware’s Tom Carper joined 39 Dem Senators in supporting Chris Murphy’s filibuster to force a vote on closing the terror gap and gun show loophole.

Where was Chris Coons?

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Thursday Daily Delawhere, June 16, 2016

Filed in National by on June 16, 2016 0 Comments

Farming near Waples Pond. Photo by Hightide_or_Lowtide on Instagram.

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Choose One: Smaller Classes, Art, Library, Gym, or Music

Filed in Education by on June 15, 2016 21 Comments
Choose One: Smaller Classes, Art, Library, Gym, or Music

Librarian-Gate is happening right now in Christina School District. It’s kind of unfair to target just this one District though, because the other 15 districts have to go through this every year too. Someone somewhere got it from someone else that District administrators “promised” all librarians would be returning to Christina schools if the March […]

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Criminal state workers cover non-criminal state workers in ignominy*

Filed in National by on June 15, 2016 4 Comments
Criminal state workers cover non-criminal state workers in ignominy*

This story sucks because 1) stealing is wrong, and 2) it will allow idiots like Tom Kline to rest easy in their idiotically shallow beliefs about state workers and governments in general.

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Wednesday Open Thread, June 15, 2016

Filed in National by on June 15, 2016 55 Comments
Wednesday Open Thread, June 15, 2016

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is slated to address supporters with a video live stream on Thursday night, his campaign confirmed Tuesday. He may announce a transition to a platform campaign to press for changes to the party primary process and platform. Hillary seems to be doing a very good job of consolidating the Democratic base on her own without Bernie’s help, so I am less concerned about an enthusiastic endorsement being made as soon as possible. Hillary has carved out some space for Bernie, Hillary and the DNC to negotiate and slowly tamp down the primary heat. Which is a good thing.

A new Bloomberg poll finds that Hillary Clinton has opened up a double-digit lead nationally over Donald Trump, 49% to 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson getting 9%. Take out Johnson, and Hillary leads 54-36. That is simply a massive landslide that would sweep the country blue and give us back the House with a 20-30 seat majority.

Very interesting: 55% of those polled saying they could never vote for Trump.

Said pollster Ann Selzer: “Clinton has a number of advantages in this poll, in addition to her lead. Her supporters are more enthusiastic than Trump’s and more voters overall see her becoming a more appealing candidate than say that for Trump.”

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll also shows Clinton leading by 12 points.

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Wednesday Daily Delawhere, June 15, 2016

Filed in National by on June 15, 2016 1 Comment

Cape Henlopen State Park Sunrise. Photo by Campfire.Dreams on Instagram.

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Sen. Karen Peterson is Retiring

Filed in National by on June 14, 2016 28 Comments
Sen. Karen Peterson is Retiring

I just got word from a source that State Senator Karen Peterson has announced her retirement on the floor of the Senate. This is devastating news for progressives in this state.

Clearly, from the reaction, and from my sources, this announcement was unexpected. I wonder if Peterson tabling Senate Bill 190, which is the first leg of an amendment to the Delaware Constitution to provide for equal protection under the law to all citizens regardless of race, sex, age, religion, creed, color, familial status, disability, sexual orientation, gender identity, or national origin, had anything to do with it.

The filing deadline is July 12. There are no state representatives residing in her district. Literally none.

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He should’a said he was from Park City

Filed in National by on June 14, 2016 9 Comments
He should’a said he was from Park City

Republican James DeMartino has been denied his 14th Representative District candidacy and he’s accusing Sussex County election officials of playing party favorites.

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Delaware General Assembly Post-Game Wrap-Up/Pre-Game Show: Tues., June 14, 2016.

Filed in Delaware, Featured by on June 14, 2016 3 Comments
Delaware General Assembly Post-Game Wrap-Up/Pre-Game Show: Tues., June 14, 2016.

Today’s House Agenda leads off with a bill that increases penalties for talking or texting on a hand-held device while driving.  I support the bill, although I question the assertion that ‘novice drivers’ are most likely to ignore the law. Based on my observations, virtually everybody ignores the law. The bill also adds points for a second offense and thereafter. Good.

The agenda is highlighted by two anti-discrimination bills.  HB 316 (Heffernan)  ‘makes it clear that an employer is expressly prohibited from taking adverse employment action against an individual based on his or her reproductive health care decisions.  HB 317 (Rep. K. Williams) ‘prohibits discrimination in employment based upon an individual’s caregiving responsibilities’.

 HB 400 (Baumbach)  incrementally, and I mean incrementally, expands the use of marijuana oils for minors.  This time,  by ‘by classifying pain, anxiety, or depression, if related to a terminal illness, as a qualifying condition in the Delaware Medical Marijuana Act for patients under the age 18, who will still be restricted to using CBD and oil products.’  The only thing objectionable about this bill is that it accepts the notion that any minor who could incidentally ‘get high’ via governmental imprimatur must be prevented at all costs.

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Tuesday Open Thread, June 14, 2016

Filed in National by on June 14, 2016 5 Comments

Anderson Cooper opened up his show by naming the victims of Sunday’s massacre at the Pulse nightclub.

Just watch. It’s powerful.

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Tuesday Daily Delawhere, June 14, 2016

Filed in National by on June 14, 2016 1 Comment

Festival season in Wilmington and New Castle County has begun! The Greek Festival was last week, and the St. Anthony’s Italian Festival is this week. This is the Holy Trinity Greek Orthodox Church, on Broom Street in Wilmington. Photo by kvo_de.

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Schumer’s move a good start to eventually taking all guns away from everyone

Filed in National by on June 13, 2016 31 Comments
Schumer’s move a good start to eventually taking all guns away from everyone

This story gives me hope that the Obama plan to take all guns away from everyone is finally getting its pants on. Reacting to the mass shooting in a gay nightclub in Orlando, allegedly by a self-proclaimed ISIS sympathizer, Senate Democrats plan to push legislation once again to keep people on the federal government’s terrorist […]

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Kim Kardashian West’s Reponse to Orlando makes more sense than John Carney’s

Filed in National by on June 13, 2016 11 Comments
Kim Kardashian West’s Reponse to Orlando makes more sense than John Carney’s

You know you are in trouble when Kim Kardashian is thinking rings around you.

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Monday Open Thread, June 13, 2016

Filed in National by on June 13, 2016 2 Comments


Josh Marshall
on the political fallout from the Orlando Massacre. Don’t be so sure it helps Trump.

There appears to be a general consensus – met with glee by Trumpites and frustration by Democrats – that the atrocity in Orlando will be a boon to the campaign of Donald Trump. It will ‘change the narrative’ and play to Trump’s call for a ban on Muslim immigration and general claim to be the only one tough enough to protect Americans. Put me down as skeptical about that assumption. [...]

Trump’s tweets [yesterday] morning were slashing but they were also preening, self-congratulatory and manic. There are ways to effectively politicize a tragedy. Trump appears psychologically incapable of doing so. He does sound ‘tough’ at some level. But far more he seems unsteady, erratic and self-obsessed.

[Trump's speech today] will hurt him rather than help him. Because Trump is Trump. Most people have little appetite for a self-congratulatory and wildly politicized screed the day after a horrific attack.

Some of you might be saying, You’re being naive: fear sells. You’re missing my point. Of course it does. But Trump’s emotional instability, his temperament largely prevents him from effectively selling it. More than benefiting from a climate of fear, I suspect he is driving home what already worries voters, what is already his singular vulnerability: he lacks the temperament and emotional stability to be president.

The other part of equation is Clinton. [...] When pollsters ask whether she has the temperament to be president and whether she is ‘tough’ and a leader she consistently and even today gets very high marks. That means she’s well positioned to withstand hard attacks on this front. The same polls show that voters overwhelmingly believe Trump lacks the temperament to be president. If he acts now like he always acts he will confirm doubts and fears that are already at the forefront of the public mind.

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Poppiti Proposes Pardons Fix

Filed in National by on June 13, 2016 6 Comments
Poppiti Proposes Pardons Fix

Last week I divulged my one essential candidate questionnaire question: Do you think that there is a “Democratic” approach to this office?

Reading through some of the Lt. Governor candidates web sites, it appears to me that Poppiti’s idea for giving the Board of Pardons direct legal authority to grant pardons for low-level, non-violent offenses is simple and rooted in Democratic principles of fairness.

I can’t cut and paste from the site, but click through here and give it a read.

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Monday Daily Delawhere, June 13, 2016

Filed in National by on June 13, 2016 1 Comment

A Mark Russo Creation, via Delaware Apparel.

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Hate is Hate

Filed in National by on June 12, 2016 84 Comments

It doesn’t matter if the killer hated gays, or was inspired by ISIS, or if it was both (and it probably was both).

Ckw-X0EWEAA7RyX

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Sunday Open Thread , June 12, 2016

Filed in National by on June 12, 2016 1 Comment
Sunday Open Thread , June 12, 2016

Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) joked at a conservative Christian event that he prays President Obama’s days will be “few,” the Huffington Post reports. Said Perdue: “We should pray like Psalms 109:8 says. It says: ‘Let his days be few and let another have his office.’”

Perdue did not continue, but Psalm 109 is a death wish for one of David’s enemies. It continues: “Let his children be fatherless; and his wife a widow. Let his children wander about and beg; and let them seek sustenance far from their ruined homes. Let the creditor seize all that he has; and let strangers plunder the product of his labor. Let there be none to extend lovingkindness to him; nor any to be gracious to his fatherless children. Let his posterity be cut off; in a following generation let their name be blotted out.“

Hey Republicans, you want to know why Trump “happened” to you, it is because you act like Senator Perdue. Trump happened because you all are Trump.

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Clinton’s First General Election Ad.

Filed in National by on June 12, 2016 0 Comments

People always complained that Hillary’s campaign did not have a central theme. It does now. This is a great ad.

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Sunday Daily Delawhere, June 12, 2016

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The Weekly Addresses

Filed in National by on June 11, 2016 0 Comments

In this week’s address, President Obama discussed the crippling economic crisis harming 3.5 million Americans in Puerto Rico.

In his weekly message, Governor Markell recognizes the progress Delaware has made in ensuring all people have the opportunity to be productive members of our community.

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Saturday Daily Delawhere , June 11, 2016

Filed in National by on June 11, 2016 0 Comments

Storm is abrewing in Fenwick Island. Photo by Delaware Apparel.

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Tax the rich, use that money to build stuff we need

Filed in National by on June 10, 2016 0 Comments
Tax the rich, use that money to build stuff we need

Spain’s anti-austerity, left-wing Podemos (“We Can”) Party (previously), which grew out of Spain’s Occupy-like Indignados movement, has just published its election manifesto for the June 26 election: The party pledges to bring unemployment down to 11% by the end of the next parliament. Unemployment is currently at 21%, with 4.8 million out of work. Podemos […]

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