National

Blue Wave Watch – Delaware

Filed in National by on September 9, 2018 28 Comments
Blue Wave Watch – Delaware

“Tossup, or D Pickup?”

That’s the main question to answer when looking at the November matchups. Some candidates are good and some are weak, but this election day, unlike any other, will come down to voter engagement. Right now all early signs point to the fact that “R Pickup” isn’t a high probability outcome in any race.

Primary day turnout is instructive. 83,000 Democratic voters were moved to vote in the primary. Meanwhile, Republican turnout went from nearly 70,000 voters in the 2016 primary to just under 38,000 on Thursday.

Importantly, the Harris campaign and other primary candidates focused on reaching new voters, young people, and people of color. Keeping those new voters and adding to their ranks may not be difficult given Trump’s poll ratings in Delaware. (Approve:36 Disapprove: 58 No Opinion:6.)

Those numbers, and the bloody flag being waved by President Obama, allow EVERY Democrat in every race to make Trump an issue in this election. That will push Republicans to either run toward or away from the President. A Kevin Hensley (for example) running toward Trump provides ammunition for his challenger and increases Dem turnout. A “nice polite Republican” like Hensley running away from the Cheeto provides the GOP nuts an excuse to stay home.

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Sept. 8 Open Thread: Kavanaugh Wears a Robe Because His Pants Are on Fire

Filed in National, Open Thread by on September 8, 2018 8 Comments

The Anomynous Controversy™ has managed to obscure the most important revelation in the Brett Kavanaugh hearings: The future SCOTUS justice is a sack of shit who thinks nothing of lying under oath, which he has done repeatedly. This is prompting calls not just for denying him a Supreme Court seat but for impeaching him from […]

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Sept. 7 Open Thread: Some Days I Can’t Even

Filed in National by on September 7, 2018 0 Comments

It has nothing to do with the local primaries, which went as I expected/feared they would. It’s rather the latest development in the ongoing reality series “White House Apprentice.” The publication of the anonymous (or anomynous, as Trump would have it) letter to the New York Times has turned this into a game show. Every […]

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November Election Matchups Set – Part 2 The RDs

Filed in National by on September 7, 2018 56 Comments

STATE REP DIS 4: GERALD BRADY (D) UNOPPOSED
D Hold

STATE REP DIS 5: KENDRA JOHNSON (D) UNOPPOSED
D Hold

STATE REP DIS 6: DEBRA HEFFERNAN* (D) JEFFERY OLMSTEAD (R)
D Hold

STATE REP DIS 7: RAYMOND SEIGFRIED (D) ERIC BRAUNSTEIN (R)
D Hold…but they’re both basically the same guy.

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NYT’s Jonathan Martin Clowns Coons

Filed in National by on September 5, 2018 5 Comments
NYT’s Jonathan Martin Clowns Coons

“This (contested primaries) is relatively new to us and it means that a younger generation of candidates view themselves as not being willing to work their way up through elections and they want to go straight for primarying our most senior elected official,” said Senator Chris Coons, who took Mr. Biden’s seat after serving on the county council.

1) I thought Coons was chummy with the media?

2) It still kills me when Coons & Carper talk about “The Delaware Way” like it is a good thing. It is like listening to some Catholic Priests talking about how close they are with the parish’s alter boys.

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This is what momentum looks like: Part 2

Filed in National by on September 5, 2018 16 Comments
This is what momentum looks like: Part 2

Kerri lives in Kent County, works in New Castle County, and advocates in Sussex County. Kerri is a working person, parent, and someone who is constantly improving.

Here’s some of the stats on this race:

– We’ve communicated with over 100,000 voters in Delaware

– We’ve raised over $175,000 (which was ahead of our goal and allowing us to increase our budget and reach out to even more voters!)

– We’ve developed over 800 volunteers

– We’ve been averaging 2-3 press hits a day over these past few months (we even had to get a bigger venue for tomorrow’s election night watch party to accommodate all the press and volunteers coming)

– Kerri won the debate with Sen. Carper (even his supporters told me Kerri won)

What was once impossible, is now inevitable.

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Sept. 5 Open Thread: Woodward Confirms What We All Know

Filed in National, Open Thread by on September 5, 2018 5 Comments

Official Washington’s reaction to Bob Woodward’s book is exactly what you’d expect in Kabuki theater: People are shocked, shocked to learn that “the adults” in the White House have been working overtime to try to pretend that the Trump White House is operating like a real government. There’s nothing that’s been revealed so far that […]

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Will Tom Carper’s “Keep Turn Out Low” Strategy Pay Off?

Filed in National by on September 5, 2018 28 Comments
Will Tom Carper’s “Keep Turn Out Low” Strategy Pay Off?

Obviously, I hope Carper’s strategy of keeping primary voter turnout low blows up in his face. Not only because he will lose if new voters come out tomorrow, but also it will mark a turning point in Democratic Party strategy. Unlike DC-based politicians, insurgent Democrats see that the way to beat Republicans in November is […]

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Ayanna Pressley Defeats Longtime Representative Mike Capuano in MA Democratic Primary Upset – Tom Carper, You are Next

Filed in National by on September 4, 2018 8 Comments
Ayanna Pressley Defeats Longtime Representative Mike Capuano in MA Democratic Primary Upset – Tom Carper, You are Next

In a major upset, Representative Michael Capuano has conceded to Boston City Councilor Ayanna Pressley in the Democratic primary for Massachusetts’s 7th District. Though results were coming in slowly and the race had yet to be called, Capuano conceded just 80 minutes after polls closed.

Pressley challenged Capuano, who has been in Congress since 1998, from the left, and the race drew comparisons to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upset victory over Congressman Joe Crowley – particularly after Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Pressley.

We’re coming for you Tom. You have more in common with Mitch McConnell than you have with ANY of your Delaware constituents, and you fucking flaunt it. It ends Thursday.

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I agree with Trump

Filed in National by on September 4, 2018 1 Comment
I agree with Trump

Jeff Sessions is a “dumb Southerner.”

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McCain Eulogy Revives Biden 2020 Chatter

Filed in Delaware, National by on September 4, 2018 6 Comments

Oratory is Joe Biden’s trademark as a politician, and he displays it best at funerals. His eulogy for John McCain was so good it prompted some pundits to muse about his presidential qualities. Lots of media outlets used his appearance in Pittsburgh’s Labor Day parade as a fresh peg for another round of “Will Joe […]

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Sept. 4 Open Thread: Woodward Details White House Bedlam

Filed in Delaware, National, Open Thread by on September 4, 2018 3 Comments

This is what they mean when they say “the institutions are working,” apparently: The Washington Post has a copy of Bob Woodward’s new book, in which former administration officials confess swiping documents off Trump’s desk to keep him from harming himself and others. In one case, an aide swiped a letter that would have withdrawn […]

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Who’s Smarter, Dogs or Republicans?

Filed in National by on September 4, 2018 3 Comments

I’m gonna have to go with dogs. Not all dogs, mind you. A lot breeds will do exactly as they’re told, just like Republicans. But the smartest breeds, especially herders like border collies, have to be able to think independently. Very few Republicans can meet that standard. I realized that this morning when confronted by […]

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