Delaware Dem's Latest Posts
Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich “have agreed to coordinate in future primary contests in a last-ditch effort to deny Donald J. Trump the Republican presidential nomination, with each candidate standing aside in certain states amid growing concerns that Mr. Trump cannot otherwise be stopped,” the New York Times reports.
“In a statement late Sunday night, Mr. Cruz’s campaign manager, Jeff Roe, said that the campaign would ‘focus its time and resources in Indiana and in turn clear the path for Governor Kasich to compete in Oregon and New Mexico.’ Minutes after Mr. Roe’s statement, the Kasich campaign put out a similar message.”
Trump responded on Twitter: “Lyin’ Ted and Kasich are mathematically dead and totally desperate. Their donors & special interest groups are not happy with them. Sad!”
This may be the case of too little too late, but maybe, just maybe, if the deal extends to California and New Jersey, with Cruz concentrating on Cali and Kasich NJ, then maybe it might prevent Trump from gettting to 1237.
NBC News: “When asked why he thinks he’s losing in those states, Sanders responded, ‘Well, because poor people don’t vote. I mean, that’s just a fact.'” Well, that may or may not be true, but wasn’t the whole point of Bernie’s campaign is that he will inspire a revolution where people who hadn’t voted before would rise up and ….vote for Bernie? If Bernie is losing because poor people are not voting at all, yet alone for him, then it looks like Bernie has failed to create his revolution, by his own admission.
Let no one know say I am not magnanimous. Here is a open thread for all those on Team Ironman who are going to feel the bern this afternoon at the Bernie Sanders Rally at the Chase Riverfront. Here is a picture from Delaware Public Media showing that the stage is set.
— DelawarePublicMedia (@WDDE911) April 23, 2016
So Jason is worried that Trump will makeover himself and then become a moderate Democrat and win the election because voters are stupid and have no memory beyond two weeks ago. I’m not at all worried. In the modern day and age, of instant 24 hour cable crap and internet, video does not disappear, and brands do not change. Trump’s brand a racist fascist buffoon is established and is not going to change. Some columnists agree. Come inside…
In this week’s address, the President discussed his continued efforts to build a fairer and more equitable criminal justice system.
In his weekly message, Governor Markell discusses his commitment to ensure that Delaware’s professional regulations are instruments of opportunity for Delaware’s skilled workforce, including an executive order signed he this week that brings government together with community members to review existing licensing requirement and recommend ways to eliminate unnecessary barriers to entry.
Why I was weary of this poll is born out in the internals. The poll deviates from the state wide demographics. 5% African Americans? The 2010 Census has the state population at 21% AA. The Hispanic/Latino population is 8%, not 2. In 2008, 28% of the Democratic voters were African American. Sure, that turnout is amplified due to Barack Obama, but it’s not going to fall down to 5%. It’s not going to fall below 20%.
Donald Trump would “absolutely” change the Republican Party’s platform on abortion to include exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother, Politico reports. Said Trump: “Yes, I would. Yes, I would. Absolutely. For the three exceptions, I would.” Well, that alone will burn down Quicken Arena.
The true believers on the right will stay home if a pro abortion platform is adopted at the RNC, and pro abortion to them is any exception to a complete abortion ban. They will not vote for Trump.
Now this is interesting:
Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-VT) campaign manager, Jeff Weaver, said on Wednesday that the senator will remain a Democrat after the 2016 presidential election. [...] “Well, he is a Democrat. He’s said he’s a Democrat, and he’s gonna be supporting the Democratic nominee, whoever that is,” Weaver responded. And when asked of Sanders was now a “Democrat for life,” Weaver said, “Yes, he is.”
Ben and I were discussing in the comments yesterday the future of Bernie Sanders, and he was aiming for VP or Majority Leader of the Senate, and I was going for something more informal: a leader of a wing of the Democratic Party in the Senate and nationwide, who will have considerable sway on a President Clinton. This comment by Weaver indicates Bernie maybe taking that latter track, and if he does, good for him and great for the party.
Gravis Marketing, which does not have a good track record, having been called the worst polling firm in America, and which incorrectly predicted a close 53-47 six point race between Hillary and Bernie in New York last week when it turned out to be a 16 point race, has polled our great state of Delaware. So take its results with a boulder of salt.
That said, it finds Hillary leading Bernie by 7, 45-38, and Trump leading all with 55% to Kasich’s 18, to Cruz’s 15.
The more important numbers from this poll, however, are found on the Congressional Primary in the Democratic Party. It finds Townsend with a 7 point lead over Barney, 19-12, with Rochester getting 8 percent. A whopping 61 percent said they are unsure who they’ll vote for in the September primary.
Congratulations to the winner of the New York Primary and the presumptive 2016 Democratic nominee, Hillary Rodham Clinton. The Democratic Presidential Primary is over. Going forward, in order to promote unity, I will not insult or otherwise attack or criticize Bernie Sanders or his supporters in my comments. And I understand some of you are still in denial and will enter a primal scream phase soon enough, if you are not already there, so I will not engage you over that. Some of you no doubt will proclaim that you will vote for Trump before you vote Hillary. That’s fine, I will not engage, I will let you work through it. And I am sure I am insulting some of you right now because you think this little speech is condescending. So I apologize for that.
What I will do, however, is still post excerpts of the punditry that is relevant to our politics. Some of that may not speak of Sanders in glowing terms. Indeed, there is a Jonathan Chait piece below that some will find unpleasant. But I won’t offer my usual asides and commentary.
In response to Sanders’ statement about Clinton winning in the “most conservative part of this country,” Nate Silver notes that she is winning the states that look like the Democratic Party.
The most representative state by this measure is New Jersey. We expect its primary electorate to be about 57 percent white, 26 percent black, 11 percent Hispanic and 6 percent Asian or other, quite close to the national Democratic electorate. New Jersey won’t vote until June 7, although Clinton was well ahead when the last poll was released there in February.
After New Jersey comes Illinois, which Clinton won narrowly — and then Florida, where Clinton won going away. Then there’s New York, which votes Tuesday, and where Clinton is 15 percentage points ahead in our polling average. Virginia, another Southern state, ranks as the next most representative; Clinton won it easily. Then there’s Nevada, another Clinton state, before we go back to the South to North Carolina, also won by Clinton. The next group of four states (Maryland, Tennessee, Arkansas and Michigan) are roughly tied and include some further representation for the South, along with, finally, one state (Michigan) that Sanders won.
In other words, Clinton has won or is favored to win almost every state where the turnout demographics strongly resemble those of Democrats as a whole.
Brian Beutler at The New Republic says Bernie Sanders Won’t Go Quietly Into the Night and Democrats, including Hillary Clinton, should be grateful that he’s sticking around.
The ninth Democratic primary debate revealed almost no new daylight between Clinton and Sanders. It mainly just revealed that Sanders won’t go quietly into the night. Sanders was withering in his criticisms, but the criticisms were almost all familiar. Occam’s razor suggests his strategy is intended to avoid a blowout defeat in New York’s presidential primary on Tuesday, which would probably constitute a fatal blow to his candidacy.
And yet despite the campaign’s bitter turn, despite the fact that Sanders’s Hail Mary tack is much more likely to damage Clinton in the general election than to secure the nomination for himself, supporters should maintain a fondness for him as a fundamentally decent rival who has left Clinton, the Democratic Party, and the country better off. At the stage where all kindness has drained out of a campaign, most candidates find themselves tempted to sacrifice their remaining integrity to win. Sanders, by contrast, reminded skeptics why his supporters have been so loyal: With everything on the line, given the opportunity to obfuscate at Clinton’s expense, Sanders held firm even to views that promise to damage him in the state that could seal his fate.
Beutler was talking about Sanders’ Israel answer. I am convinced that the answer neither helped him nor hurt him. Those turned off by his answer were likely already with Hillary and those who would like his answer were likely already with Bernie. Like Beutler says, if Bernie tried to go all hawkish and pro-Israel, he would have likely damaged himself with his own supporters.
Some food for thought:
A March 2008 Gallup poll shows that 28 percent of Clinton supporters say they would vote for John McCain over Obama, and 19 percent of Obama supporters say they would vote for McCain over Clinton. A 2016 Marist poll asks Sanders and Clinton supporters if they would vote for the other candidate in the general election. A New York Times/CBS poll from this year finds that 40 percent of Democrats think the tone of this primary has been more positive than previous primaries, and 48 percent think it’s about the same.
While our little “civil war” may seem nasty now, it is nothing compared to 2008. But in 2008, if my memory serves, we all supported Obama, I believe. At least all the front page contributors. The divide among contributors and commenters this time around may make our primary seem worse than 2008, more divided, but it is really not.
Earlier this week we learned that Sean Barney Sean Barney raised $150,148.75 in the first quarter of 2016, for a total of $231,000 for the entire campaign, and has $171,263.30 in cash on hand. We also learned that Lisa Blunt Rochester raised $134,770.74 in the first quarter, for a total of $256,293.15 for the entire campaign, and has 284,873.06 cash on hand, though that includes a $128,000 loan that Lisa has made to her own campaign. Last night the Townsend campaign announced that it raised $145,747.34 for the first quarter, $358,423.38 for the entire campaign, and $192,545.04 cash on hand.
However, a key question needs to be made about each campaign’s fundraising: how much of it was raised for the primary, and how much for the general? Because if the money was raised for the general, it cannot be used in the primary.
In this week’s address, the President discussed important steps the Administration has taken to encourage competition – the most essential ingredient in a healthy free market.
In his weekly message, Governor Markell highlights how the state is supporting efforts to connect Delawareans to affordable education and workforce training opportunities beyond high school at a time when continuing education is increasingly necessary to compete for good jobs in the new economy.