Archive for January, 2016

Special Sunday Edition of the Open Thread.

Filed in National by on January 31, 2016 33 Comments
Special Sunday Edition of the Open Thread.

Yesterday, the Gold Standard Iowa poll by Anne Selzer was released. As expected, it finds Clinton and Trump ahead, though they find that Trump’s lead is beatable whereas other polls showed him with a larger more insurmountable lead.

Here are some interesting points from the cross tabs and internals of the poll: “Another sign of a possible cliffhanger Monday night: Although just 9% of likely GOP caucusgoers haven’t yet made a choice, they’re part of the 45% who could be persuaded to change their minds in the final hours.”

Ed Kilgore:

As has been the case all along, Sanders has a robust lead among first-time Caucus-goers, but they represent only about a third of likely participants, as compared to 60 percent when Barack Obama beat Clinton in 2008 via a huge turnout. And while Sanders’s base includes both men and women under 30, Clinton has a better than 2-to-1 lead among seniors — still the most likely voters to show up Monday night — and desire for a woman to become president seems more intense than a passion for the kind of political revolution Sanders promises.

Among Republicans, the Iowa Poll confirms the conventional wisdom that Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz; he leads Cruz 28 to 23 percent, reversing a 25 to 22 percent Cruz lead in the last Selzer poll. But the bit of conventional wisdom passionately hoped for by many establishment Republicans — a Marco Rubio surge past Cruz into second place — just ain’t happening. He’s at 15 percent, with no particular signs of momentum, unless you believe Selzer missed some sort of very late, debate-driven change (this poll was still in the field yesterday, though).

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Sunday Daily Delawhere [1.31.2016]

Filed in National by on January 31, 2016 0 Comments

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Saturday Open Thread [1.30.2016]

Filed in National by on January 30, 2016 2 Comments
Saturday Open Thread [1.30.2016]

An interesting thing is happening: President Obama’s poll numbers are rising. The Washington Post reported this week:

President Obama’s job-approval rating has rebounded into positive territory, boosted by improving assessments of his handling of the nation’s economy since 2012 and thawing ratings on handling the terrorist threat, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Fifty percent of Americans approve of Obama’s overall job performance in the new poll, similar to 51 percent in October. While barely positive, Obama’s marks are up slightly from 45 and 46 percent in the past two months…. Fully 50 percent approve of his handling of the economy, while 46 percent disapprove, the best margin in Post-ABC polls since 2009.

In late January of 2008, President Bush’s approving rating was in the high 20’s to low thirties. In fact, President Obama’s approval rating is practically identical to that of Ronald Reagan at this stage of his Presidency. Reagan was at 47% approval in late January, compared to Obama’s 48%, according to Gallup. Nate Silver added yesterday that the latest RealClearPolitics average shows the president’s support reaching its highest point since June 2013. It could be a temporary blip, of course, but Nate added, “Maybe Obama looks a little better in comparison to the unpopular set of candidates they’ve been seeing and hearing so much from lately.”

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The Weekly Addresses

Filed in National by on January 30, 2016 0 Comments

In this week’s address, the President discussed his plan to give all students across the country the chance to learn computer science (CS) in school.

In his weekly message, Governor Markell unveiled a Fiscal Year 2017 state budget that invests in stronger schools and workforce training, innovation and infrastructure to spur economic growth, better health and a high quality of life.

This week, the House Administration Committee released House Bill 165, sponsored by Rep. Debra Heffernan, which would make full-time State of Delaware employees who have at least one year of employment eligible for 12 weeks of paid maternity and paternity leave.

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Saturday Daily Delawhere [1.30.2016]

Filed in National by on January 30, 2016 0 Comments

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Politics 101 – Find out what they want, and don’t give it to them until they give you something you want.

Filed in National by on January 29, 2016 0 Comments
Politics 101 – Find out what they want, and don’t give it to them until they give you something you want.

Terry McAuliffe demonstrates how to deal with Republicans: Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) will announce on Friday a deal with Republican lawmakers that will reinstate Virginia’s policy of recognizing concealed carry licenses from most states,…The compromise legislation would allow the state to take guns away from individuals under a two-year protective order for domestic violence, […]

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This One’s For You, Kevin

Filed in Delaware by on January 29, 2016 23 Comments
This One’s For You, Kevin

Earlier today I asked Kevin O. to stop turning Delaware Dem’s death penalty post into an abortion post. My comment was brief, but I should have taken the time to explain that his comments were off topic and that he was free to post his thoughts on an open thread. For that, I apologize. Kevin […]

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Friday Open Thread [1.29.2016]

Filed in National by on January 29, 2016 10 Comments
Friday Open Thread [1.29.2016]

Aaron Blake uses data from the latest WaPo/ABC poll to say that the electorate really isn’t all that angry.

Donald Trump is angry. Bernie Sanders is angry. And Americans think their neighbors are very angry, too.

Except that they’re simply not — or at least, not abnormally angry. Despite the rise of two candidates who have embraced the idea of anger, our country simply isn’t unusually angry about how things are going in Washington

I think this race is going to be very boring. It is going to be a status quo election. Hillary and Trump will quickly win their nominations, and we will be “entertained” by Trump all year long, and then Hillary will win in a devastating landslide that will destroy the Republican Party for a few generations.

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Delaware Political (More Or Less) Weekly: January (More Or Less) 22-28, 2016

Filed in Delaware, Featured by on January 29, 2016 13 Comments
Delaware Political (More Or Less) Weekly: January (More Or Less) 22-28, 2016

Kathleen McGuiness is for real.  Except for that whole residency thingy.  BTW, turns out she moved out to Park Slope b/c a couple of her kids are competitive snowboarders.  Yes, she raised a lot of money. What really surprised me is that almost all of the money comes from Delaware.  Pretty much every D in Sussex County with money has ponied up. Guess there are more D’s with money in Sussex County than I thought. Bethany Hall-Long has raised a lot of $$’s as well.  Ciro Poppiti has enough money to be competitive. Sherry Dorsey Walker, Greg Fuller, and Brad Eaby don’t.

Trinidad Navarro better get his ass in gear.  Those who deal with the insurance commissioner’s office have apparently resigned themselves to, or more likely, fallen in love with the idea of, Incompetent Karen Weldin Stewart serving as Insurance Commissioner.  He’s only raised $11K?  Vs. $83K?

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The Cause Endures

Filed in National by on January 29, 2016 27 Comments
The Cause Endures

It is in these moments that people who are novices or who are inexperienced in the way of politics, and the long arc of history get frustrated and often walk away. For example, I saw one commenter on Facebook blame the Democrats in the General Assembly for the vote. That person is probably the same type of person who blames President Obama for Republican obstruction. And he, and those like him, need some education on how long and involved a process politics and change is. If you are getting into politics for instant gratification and neverending victories, you will be bitterly disappointed.

Yesterday, the defeat of the Senate Bill 40, which would have repealed the death penalty, by an official vote of 16-23-2, was not a defeat. It was a victory when you look at change and politics from a longer view, or a higher altitude. Over the course of three years, we went from no bill for repeal even being considered, to having it be introduced, pass through the Senate, and die in the House Judiciary Committee, to having it pass the Senate again, and get debated and voted on on the House floor.

Yesterday was a step forward. To be sure, the vast majority of the Democratic caucus voted for the repeal of the death penalty. Step back and think about that for a second, while looking at this vote roster (I have excluded the Republicans voting no, because they are irrelevant to this conversation, well, are irrelevant to most things really).

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Friday Daily Delawhere [1.29.2016]

Filed in National by on January 29, 2016 0 Comments

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Representative Mike Ramone, Charter School Lobbyist

Filed in Delaware by on January 28, 2016 6 Comments
Representative Mike Ramone, Charter School Lobbyist

Mr. Ramone needs to read the regs pertaining to per student funding in public education. When a student moves from a District school to a Charter school, the tax money collected by the original district for spending on that student goes with the student to the charter. There is no fiscal “responsibility” borne by the Charter, the sending District is paying that child’s per-student expense. If Mr. Ramone doesn’t believe that, I have a $21 million charter bill Christina School District is paying this year for him to look at. Email me, Rep Ramone: brianstephan@gmail.com and I can help you understand how public schools are funded in this state.

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BREAKING: Death Penalty Repeal Fails, 16-23-2

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 69 Comments
BREAKING: Death Penalty Repeal Fails, 16-23-2

Senate Bill 40, which eliminates the Death Penalty in Delaware going forward (those already convicted of first degree murder and sentenced to death will not have their sentences reduced), finds itself on the House floor today for debate and perhaps a vote. The Bill has had a long and winding road to get today. This is the second session of the General Assembly in which a death penalty bill has been considered. This time, like the last time, the Senate passed the bill by the slimmest of margins, 11-9. Last time, the bill was buried in Rebecca Walker’s House Judiciary Committee. This time, the bill was actually debated in Larry Mitchell’s House Judiciary Committee. But last spring, the bill failed to clear the committee.

But all hope was not lost. Rep. Sean Lynn openly stated on multiple occasions that he would petition the bill out of committee so that it could be considered on the floor of the House. To do that he would need the votes of a majority of the House. But it turned out was not necessary, as House Speaker Schwartzkopf and Rep. Mitchell agreed to release the bill and place it on the agenda for debate.

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Chris Coons Loses Car, Wins Internet

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 11 Comments

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Thursday Open Thread [1.28.2016]

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 3 Comments
Thursday Open Thread [1.28.2016]

Bernie Sanders met in the Oval Office with President Obama yesterday. I felt it was a little odd since I did not hear that it was scheduled. It was not announced by the Sanders campaign or the White House, at least not that I am aware of and I read all the things everywhere everyday in order to put together this Open Thread. So it felt like it was hastily scheduled, and maybe it took place due to a Sanders’ complaint that he was tipping the scales for Hillary in that Glenn Thrush interview (even though Sanders said otherwise). Here is Ed Kilgore on what he thinks the Sanders-Obama meeting meant:

Sanders had to do something to counter the impression that Hillary Clinton has been avidly promoting — most overtly in the NBC News debate in South Carolina on January 17 — that she was the best-equipped candidate to protect and build on Barack Obama’s legacy. This impression was undoubtedly buttressed by media interpretations of the interview Obama gave to Politico’s Glenn Thrush in which the 44th president praised his secretary of State while indirectly pouring cold water on the “political revolution” Sanders is purporting to lead. So today’s White House meeting, even if Sanders cannot say much about it, was intended to reestablish presidential neutrality. That’s a big deal in Iowa, where (according to the last Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Iowa poll) Hillary Clinton has been running even with Sanders among people who caucused for Obama in 2008. And it’s a bigger deal down the road where African-Americans begin to play a far more dominant role in Democratic primary electorates.

[...] Aside from the White House meeting, he’s beginning to manage expectations for Iowa, which were beginning to become so robust that a narrow defeat there might be perceived as devastating. First he expressed doubt that turnout would be anything like 2008’s or that he could match Obama’s margin. But, more important, he’s making it clear that he does not regard an actual win in the state as necessary for his nomination.

From the polls, and the polling average, and the feel of the race right now from the actions of both campaigns, it seems clear that Hillary is going to win Iowa. The question is by how much. Sanders is trying to manage the expectations game, which is smart.

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Why is Pete racking up the RD endorsements in Sussex?

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 7 Comments
Why is Pete racking up the RD endorsements in Sussex?

So recently, the 14th Representative District endorsed their incumbent State Representative, House Speaker Pete Schwartzkopf, for reelection. There is nothing really unusual about that, one would expect one’s own RD to endorse you for reelection, except that the endorsement is quite early in the election year, and that the 14th RD abandoned their long standing policy of not endorsing before the primary election in order to make this endorsement.

And now we get word that the neighboring RD, the 20th, has taken the unusual step of endorsing Pete for reelection. I don’t think I’ve seen that happen before, where an RD endorses a candidate for election in another RD, a candidate none of the residents or members of the RD can vote for.

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Minimum Wage Passes the Senate, but not without concessions.

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 2 Comments
Minimum Wage Passes the Senate, but not without concessions.

Senate Bill 39, as amended, increases the minimum wage by 50 cents a year effective June 1, for the years 2017 through 2020, when it will be $10.25. The original bill would have then tied the minimum wage increases to the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA). But, by amendment, that provision was stricken, I suppose to get the final 11th vote. That would make sense, since the amendment was passed late in the afternoon yesterday, after votes on the bill had been delayed one day to figure out how to get that 11th and final vote for the majority. I would love to know which so called Democrat demanded that provision be stricken. I would like him or her to explain their thinking.

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Trump’s Andy Kaufman Show

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 2 Comments
Trump’s Andy Kaufman Show

The notion that the rise of Donald Trump is a sign that the Republican Party is done for has been discussed here. But Josh Marshall takes it a step further. It could be that Trump’s crazy antics are the last act of Post World War II politics in general, and the first act of whatever […]

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DelDOT Employees to be recognized in the State Senate today

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 1 Comment
DelDOT Employees to be recognized in the State Senate today

In the State Senate at approximately 1:30 p.m., DelDOT employees will be recognized for their tireless work and long hours during the recent blizzard in clearing our roads as soon as was possible and in keeping the public informed. Perhaps the Governor and the Legislature can do a little more than that, and finally give DelDOT and all state employees a raise.

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Mr. Crybaby

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 0 Comments

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Thursday Daily Delawhere [1.28.2016]

Filed in National by on January 28, 2016 0 Comments

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DL Community Progessive Action Item – The National Liberal Hug-a-thon

Filed in National by on January 27, 2016 5 Comments
DL Community Progessive Action Item – The National Liberal Hug-a-thon

This is not an order from humble old me. It comes down directly from the Hefty Lefty HQ (a.k.a George Soro’s Yacht)

It is going to be nuts between now and Iowa. So all liberals and progressives are directed as follows:

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Wednesday Open Thread [1.27.2016]

Filed in National by on January 27, 2016 37 Comments
Wednesday Open Thread [1.27.2016]

The pathetic coward who is the frontrunner for the GOP nomination said yesterday that he would not attend tomorrow’s day because one of the moderators, Fox News’ Megyn Kelly, asked him a fair and legitimate question in last summer’s debate that revealed him to be sexist pig. Well, the Donald could not have that, so he proceeded to act out after the August debate by being a sexist pig. I hope Fox News stands their ground and refuses to budge. Let his podium stand empty.

Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders, for some inexplicable reason, does not want to attend a new debate that is being scheduled by MSNBC and the New Hampshire Union Leader. The debate is not sanctioned by the DNC, but Martin O’Malley and Hillary Clinton have agreed to attend the debate, which will take place in the week before the New Hampshire primary. Everyone all campaign long have complained about the minimal number of debates the Democrats have scheduled, including Bernie Sanders. And now Bernie doesn’t want to show up. Bernie, stop acting like Donald Trump.

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General Assembly Post-Game Wrap-Up/Pre-Game Show: Weds., Jan. 27, 2016

Filed in Delaware by on January 27, 2016 7 Comments
General Assembly Post-Game Wrap-Up/Pre-Game Show: Weds., Jan. 27, 2016

We could still have an epic week in store–or it could turn into a nothingburger.  The minimum wage bill still awaits Senate action, and death penalty repeal maybe gets considered in the House. Or not.  Probably depends on whether the respective sponsors think they have the votes.  If you haven’t contacted YOUR legislators, what are you waiting for?

The minimum wage bill has already been amended primarily to reflect the fact it wasn’t considered last year.  Senate Amendment 3, which passed by a 13-8 vote, adjusts the effective dates for the increases, and accordingly delays the implementation of the COLA increase until 2021. Pure party line vote. The bill appears to need at least one more D vote to pass. DINO Brian Bushweller is one of the holdouts.  Who are the others? BTW, check out Colin Bonini’s amendment to the bill. The guy is a joke.

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A Pretty Good Email from the DEGOP

Filed in National by on January 27, 2016 2 Comments
A Pretty Good Email from the DEGOP

For the ‘credit where credit is due’ file.

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