Musical Chairs and the 62 District Strategy Update
First, the chart…
As you can see, I have removed Darryl Scott, and added Sean Lynn’s name there as a candidate in the Democratic column. City Councilwoman Dorsey Walker has filed to primary Senator Bob Marshall in the 3rd Senate District. Does Senator Marshall retire, or face a much tougher primary this time around then he experienced last time.
Representatives Bryon Short, Kim Williams, Larry Mitchell, and Earl Jaques have all filed for reelection. And Democrat Jeff Porter of Tavistock has filed to challenge Representative Debbie Hudson. Good. I was afraid I might have to run against her just to get a Democrat into the race.
There is also a bit of a joke in the chart. A joke I now hope to turn into a reality…
Now to the Musical Chairs bit. Delaware politics, especially now that it is basically a one party state whose one party has a pretty strong party establishment with an established order of things, can sometimes be very predictable.
The right of Lt. Governors to succeed the Governors they served. DuPont then Castle. Carper than Minner than Carney. The always moving up. A Biden will always serve in the Senate. Treasurers run for Governor. Etc, etc, etc.
Well, these rules are falling about recently. But I still was comfortable in predicting the future.
In 2016…
Lt. Governor Matt Denn was going to run for Governor.
Markell will campaign for Hillary and get a cabinet post.
Carney will get re-elected to the House.
In 2018…
Senator Carper would retire.
Carney and AG Biden would seek a promotion to the Senate. Or maybe Biden would content himself with a House seat to allow Carney the move up.
It never crossed my mind that Beau Biden would want to run for Governor instead.
It never crossed my mind that Matt Denn would run for nothing in 2016.
Matt Denn is Delaware’s most popular politician, according to internet and scientific polls. And yet all signs are pointing to the notion that he is going to step aside for Beau Biden in the 2016 Governor’s Race, which in and of itself sets up a likely primary with New Castle County Executive Tom Gordon. Perhaps one (Biden or Denn) had to be sacrificed for the greater good of keeping Gordon out of absolute power. (And if you don’t think Gordon is running, check this out).
Maybe Denn will stay in the on deck circle so that if Beau Biden’s criminally undisclosed and mysterious health problems reemerge, Denn can step into the race with the full backing of the Biden machine. But if that is not the case, then Matt Denn simply must go back to his old job: Insurance Commissioner. Make that office work for the consumer again, Matt!
“Matt Denn … all signs are pointing to the notion that he is going to step aside for Beau Biden in the 2016..”
What signs?
I have been told by several separate sources that Denn started to assemble his campaign operation for 2016 and then abruptly stopped and dismantled it.
That’s interesting. Your sources have been vetted for possible agenda pushing?
Let’s just say that they all do not have a dog in this fight….
If that is the case, Denn should be running for attorney general, not IC.
C’mon, though. Your sources have no axe to grind at all? They’re not talking based on fragmentary information? You have no more details than that? Awfully flimsy.
El Som,
Given the close but underpublicized connections between the Biden mafia and the Gordonistas (I know Geez has talked to you about that), why would you anticipate a Biden-Gordon primary for governor. I would think a Denn-Gordon primary would be the more likely scenario.
Easily the best IC this state has ever seen. I was glad to see him move up but, I was disappointed to see him leave. That was before KWS horror show.
RE: 6th Senate District, the Democrat is Claire Snyder-Hall, not Synder-Hall.
Any word from sources on if Beau is assembling a crack team of campaigners to hide his “criminally undisclosed and mysterious health problems” and win the governorship in a walk?
I would probably prefer Matt Denn, but would like to see what Beau had to say. Right now, Beau is an empty suit and I know more about Denns kids than I really need to know but at least he is out there doing something.
Nobody down here cares or knows about Tom Gordon.
Mediawatch: I didn’t anticipate a Biden/Gordon primary. Gordon runs only if Biden doesn’t. Did I say something to the contrary?
DD: Thanks for doing this! I was wondering when I’d find the time to do my so-called weekly wrap-up. Now I don’t have to!
El Som,
Maybe it’s my aging brain (hey, we all get older every day), but as I read what you wrote, it says Matt will step aside to make way for Beau and that will set up a primary with Tommy Boy.
I think you’re confusing me with DD. We’re both insightful, but I didn’t say that.
Apologies to El Som.
DD,
can you respond to my misdirected query? I just don’t see how there can be any support for the theory that a Biden-Gordon primary could be looming.
HELP ,When I hear the words Tom Gordon I think “true evil” . That is his BRAND . Please tell me his good points . Like “he made the trains run on time ” .
Mediawatch…
You make a good point. But if my sources are right that Denn has stepped aside for the Biden machine, I still don’t know what to make of Gordon’s latest moves. Maybe he is angling for Lt. Governor. Or, maybe it is a Gordon-Biden ticket.
Capes…
He has a history of scandal and corruption, but yes, his brand is that he makes the trains run on time.
Or maybe he wants to be well-positioned if Biden does not run.
And/or maybe he knows something about Beau’s health that we don’t.
I experienced a huge letdown when I clicked on sheets 2 and 3.
DD, maybe you could include top secret, coded messages in future posts.
I don’t like that House chart with all those unchallenged seats in the COW districts.
No one is mentioning the listing of a filed primary challenger to Chris Coons? I assume that this is the joke you referenced?
Yes. Here is hoping it becomes a reality.
I think that a lawyer would be the best bet to demolish Coons’ pathetic justification for screwing disenfranchised voters b/c of…Mumia.
BTW, anybody heard from Chris lately? Has his press secretary let him out of whatever office he’s hiding in?
Chris, we’re not gonna forget. If you’re hoping that this will just pass, you’re wrong.
This article and comments describes perfectly the downside of one party – any party – having a choke-hold on the leadership of any group of people. Sad to see that Delaware has succumbed to an “automatic” rotation of the musical political chairs, regardless of talent, leadership, or integrity. One only has to look at the corruption of some of the party’s leaders to prove my point. Hope that someday we return to having a real choice.
For all the anti-Coons anger here, you’re ignoring the fact that voters will not give any number of fucks about Debo/Mumia in November. You’re talking about a vote to confirm some lawyer with a funny name to some job in Washington that got tangled up in a fight about a murder case with another guy with a funny name and has something to go with a constitutional right to an attorney and the role of the appeals process and 95 percent of the people who will might hear about this in November will stop listening when they hear the words “vote to confirm,” even those voting in a Democratic primary. This is not a mainstream issue; it is a very complicated one, and doesn’t easily boil down.
I think Mumia should have been executed and that Debo should have been confirmed. Neither is going to happen. I’m not going to waste my energy bemoaning either now, and definitely not waste my time in a futile attempt to boot a guy out of office over this in favor of a charismatic chameleon who has shown virtually no leadership on anything and is wedded at the hip to Gordon and Williams.
It was about enforcing the Voting Rights Act. Which is why Fox Noise led the battle to distort this guy’s rep. Why? Because R’s are using every means possible in swing states to deny voters who don’t vote their way the right to vote. And b/c this guy was very adept at challenging those inequities.
The very fact that Coons either couldn’t grasp that import, or was too afraid to go against the Fox Noise propaganda, renders him unworthy to serve as a Democrat in the Senate.
He should either change his party registration or retire.
As to having Chris Bullock succeed him, well, I agree with you on that. ‘Chameleon’ may be putting it too kindly.