Archive for November 6th, 2012
Waiting with DD, LG, xstryker for Rmoney’s concession speech at the Queen. Seriously this is a sweet win. Can’t wait for President Obama to speak and for these CNN people to shut up.
Tell us of your first sighting of the “we need to be more conservative” excuse.
So the majority of the contributors at DL will be at the Queen tonight celebrating the reelections of the President, Vice President, Governor Markell, and Lt. Governor Denn, among others. So I don’t know if we will be able to update the blog as often as we would like to. So post whatever you are hearing here, whether it has to with national results. There will be another thread for Delaware results. And can I say, thank God this is over!!!
A Democratic voter in the 6th Senate District received a mailer from Ernie Lopez’s campaign, directing him to a false polling place. Here is the mailer:
We are going to know pretty early how the night is going. If we have early calls for Ohio and Pennsylvania around the 8 pm hour, then it is Obama’s night. If North Carolina gets called early for Romney, while PA and OH are not, it will be nail biter.
NPR is reporting that voters in Belmont, Massachusetts were asked to leave the voting line so Mittens can vote without rubbing elbows with the riffraff. Meanwhile, Vice President Joe Biden stood in line with regular folks to cast his ballot at his polling place.
What are your predictions, nationally and locally? I’ve made my predictions over the last several days on the Presidency, the new Congress, our statewide and New Castle County races, and all 62 races in the State House of Representatives and State Senate. Make your predictions here in the comments, and in doing so, feel free to use the 270towin electoral college predictor map. And if you are so inclined, tell us how you are voting today. If you don’t want to, no pressure, you don’t have to. We have a secret ballot in this country. But if you want to let the rest of us in on the secret, please go ahead.
The day is finally here. You are probably still hearing from campaigns and some of you are still working for a few. Use this thread to post your observations of what is happening at your polling place, what you hear happening in Delaware or anywhere in the country.
So, here we are. Election. The ultimate polling report. The only poll that matters. Well, we got some more polls yesterday to report to you, including 18 national polls, and nearly twice as many state polls. Before we get to the numbers and the map and my prediction of the final outcome, here are some great guides about the swing states, including past results, final polling averages and poll closing times: Harry Enten and the Economist.
The average of all the following final national polls is Obama 48.94, Romney 47.11, or a 1.83 point lead for the President. The national polls have clearly moved in the President’s direction over the past week and during the final weekend, and I think, with the undecideds either splitting evenly or, as some polls like the NBC/Wall Street Journal Marist poll shows, towards the President, then we could be looking at a 4-5 point margin in the popular vote. Something along the lines of O 51, R 47.
And here is our final poll projection map. And come inside to see my final prediction, which is a little different from the final poll projection map.