Archive for October, 2012

Halloween Open Thread [10.31.12]

Filed in National by on October 31, 2012 18 Comments
Halloween Open Thread [10.31.12]

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El Somnambulo Predicts ‘Em All For You

Filed in National by on October 31, 2012 151 Comments

My Delaware predictions, with pithy comments:

President of the United States: Obama/Biden again win Delaware handily. Down-ballot races could well be impacted by (lack of) R enthusiasm, especially upstate.

United States Senate: Tom Carper, Delaware’s senior DLC cheerleader and in effect the Father of Delaware DLC politics, wins easily. Only an egomaniacal madman like Alex Pires could almost turn Carper into a sympathetic figure. There was a viable insurgency campaign to be run against Carper, but Pires chose not to run it.

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The Polling Report [Halloween Edition]

Filed in National by on October 31, 2012 5 Comments
The Polling Report [Halloween Edition]

This Halloween Polling Report is scary for Republicans. Normally when a challenger defeats an incumbent, he is leading by wide margins right now. Remember 1992? Clinton was leading in all the polls, both national and state, by margins enough to ensure he would win 270. That is not the case for Mr. Romney right now. He is woefully behind the ball in the battleground states. In the end, he may win Florida and North Carolina, but the rest of the toss ups have Obama leading, as you see on our map.

Indeed, the point of our map, and why it is different from all other polling maps, is to show you who would win the election if the election where today. For that is all a poll can ask you. So that is all we are showing. And right now, we are showing an clear Obama victory. If Romney were to win, this map should be showing a clear Romney victory right now. It’s not.

So we have a lot of new polls out. The biggest surprise to me? Georgia is not lockdown safe for Romney. Georgia.

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Halloween Daily Delawhere [10.31.12]

Filed in Delaware by on October 31, 2012 5 Comments
Halloween Daily Delawhere [10.31.12]

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‘Bulo To Predict ‘Em All For You…

Filed in Delaware by on October 30, 2012 4 Comments

…Wednesday morning at 10 am:

Radio: The Al Mascitti Show-WDEL 1150 AM on your radio dial

Media: Right Here At Delaware Liberal

So, if you think you’ve got any late-breaking Delaware upset specials, now’s the time to persuade me…the piece is completed, but I can always edit it.

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Reminder of the Day

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 10 Comments
Reminder of the Day

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The Ocean Meets Rt. 1

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 60 Comments
The Ocean Meets Rt. 1

Looks to me like the new shoreline is on the shoulder of Northbound Route 1. I imagine that Rt. 1 in this area is going to be closed for quite some time, as Rt. 1 would flood at every high tide.

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Tuesday Open Thread [10.30.12]

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 8 Comments

First Read: “Now with Sandy moving away from the East Coast, the real impact begins today — assessing the damage, realizing what happened, and the government (federal, state, and local) beginning the recovery. And this is the true high-wire act for President Obama and his administration: making sure the recovery and relief begins immediately and […]

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Christie offers praise for Obama, and I offer praise for Christie

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 24 Comments

I said yesterday in one of the Hurricane threads that, while I detest the politics of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) otherwise, I find his response and handling of disasters to be spot on. His assholish schtick is exactly what is needed during these disaster, for there are always idiots who stay behind, ignore warnings, and then get in trouble requiring rescue, risking even more lives. These assholes who never listen to authorities need to be treated, publicly, like assholes, and Chris Christie does that, early and often. And I like it.

Since his state has been ground zero for the landfall of Hurricane Superstorm Sandy, Governor Christie has been all over the national media last night and today. He just spoke to Matt Lauer this morning, and whe Lauer asked about the competence and efficiency of the federal response, Christie said it’s been “great,” noting that he spoke directly to President Obama at midnight and FEMA again this morning. Christie said Obama “has been outstanding.” On CBS, Christie said “cooperation from the president of the United States has been outstanding. He deserves great credit.”

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The Polling Report [10.30.12]

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 8 Comments
The Polling Report [10.30.12]

Nate Silver notes the hurricane hitting the east coast means we’ll likely see “a reduction in the number of polls issued over the coming days… And certainly, any polls in the states that are most in harm’s way, including Virginia, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania, will need to be interpreted with extreme caution.”

I still think we will see polls from Florida, Ohio and Colorado.

Here is the current map. There is a poll out of Colorado and Florida slowing very slim 1 point Romney leads, 1 poll out of North Carolina showing the race tied, and new polls out of Ohio and New Hampshire showing consistent 3-4 point Obama leads. We also have a Senate Forecast Update today, showing the Democrats picking up a net of 1 seat, with the possibility of picking up a net of 2, to increase their number of seats to 55.

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The Morning After (Updated with Pictures)

Filed in National by on October 30, 2012 44 Comments
The Morning After (Updated with Pictures)

What damage do you have? Did you lose power? Listen to 1380 am, which is DELDOT’s radio broadcast. They list current road closings and detours for all three counties, including signal outages at intersections. It seems that the Governor will announce at 8:30 if the Level 2 Driving Restriction will be lifted. To echo Lt. Governor Denn and Governor Markell, if you or someone you know are running into any storm-related recovery roadblocks or have unanswered questions, post it here and we will get the message to them.

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Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.30.12]

Filed in Delaware by on October 30, 2012 1 Comment
Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.30.12]

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The Geoengineering of Hurricane Sandy

Filed in National by on October 29, 2012 21 Comments

So has anyone heard this story? This seems to be another giant bit of tinfoil hat being spread around the wingnut universe — namely that President Obama is somehow responsible for the geoengineering of Hurricane Sandy. In order to disrupt election coverage, to interfere with voting, to skew the polls. I’ve only been able to manage bits and pieces of this lunacy, but somehow chemtrails are involved. Chemtrails!

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I think this Ad is the first time the words “Romney” and “lie” have been put together.

Filed in National by on October 29, 2012 3 Comments

Watch:

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Another Hurricane Sandy Storm Thread

Filed in Delaware by on October 29, 2012 111 Comments

The last one was getting full. Please use this thread to report all your storm observations and news, for as long as you have power. But most importantly, stay safe out there.

For the latest news, follow the #SandyDE thread on Twitter.

Another good source of information is WhereinDE’s 1Source.

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Monday Open Thread [10.29.12]

Filed in Open Thread by on October 29, 2012 29 Comments

The vehemently and severely conservative Chicago Tribune endorses the President, and has a pretty good takedown of Mitt Romney inside. Go over and read the whole thing.

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Hurricane Sandy Day 2 Storm News Thread

Filed in National by on October 29, 2012 93 Comments

As of 5 am this morning, all of Delaware is under a Level 2 Driving restriction, which means only essential personnel are to be on the roads. In reality, with most businesses closed, all schools closed, all courts closed, it means “Stay home fool.”

Governor Markell stayed on Twitter for most of last night answering Delawarean’s questions about various storm related topics, including trash collection, power issues, bridge closings, but he had this to say about the driving restrictions: “Driving restriction keeps as many people safe as possible. Even with a waiver, employers should exercise good judgement.” Hey businesses, that is the Governor telling you to shut down and keep your employees safe. Follow his advice.

Please use this thread to report all your storm observations and news, for as long as you have power. But most importantly, stay safe out there.

For the latest news, follow the #SandyDE thread on Twitter.

Another good source of information is WhereinDE’s 1Source.

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The Polling Report [10.29.12] (Updated with more Tracking Polls)

Filed in National by on October 29, 2012 6 Comments
The Polling Report [10.29.12] (Updated with more Tracking Polls)

Here are some polls released on Saturday and Sunday. All very good for the President. Indeed, the Associated Press reports that President Obama “is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, having beaten back Republican Mitt Romney’s attempts to convert momentum from the debates into support in all-important Ohio.”

“While in a tight race with Obama for the popular vote, Romney continues to have fewer state-by-state paths than Obama to reach 270. Without Ohio’s 18 electoral votes, Romney would need last-minute victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and manage to pick off key states now leaning Obama’s way, such as Iowa or Wisconsin.”

Meanwhile, and interestingly, Gallup finds the composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008. That is not good news for the Republicans.

Here is the current map based on the recent polling in each state, with the most recent results since our last report posted below:

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Monday Daily Delawhere [10.29.12]

Filed in Delaware by on October 29, 2012 1 Comment
Monday Daily Delawhere [10.29.12]

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Finally, a true endorsement of Mitt Romney

Filed in National by on October 28, 2012 0 Comments

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Romney thinks Federal disaster relief is immoral

Filed in National by on October 28, 2012 8 Comments

Hopefully we will not need it.

MORE from Delaware Dem: Romney campaign confirms Romney’s position on FEMA is to shut it down and return it to the states. Disasters like Hurricane Sandy, which will impact 10 states or more, would bankrupt all of them, and would lead to untold and unnecessary death that could be prevented.

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Sunday Storm Thread

Filed in National by on October 28, 2012 47 Comments
Sunday Storm Thread

Use this thread for updates on the storm, your cooking adventures, status of the alcohol consumption, looter sightings, next-door neighbor lunacies and anything else storm-related. I am posting some images sent to me throughout the day — if you have any good ones, post them here or send them to one of the Editors to post.

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Sunday Open Thread [10.28.12]

Filed in Open Thread by on October 28, 2012 4 Comments
Sunday Open Thread [10.28.12]

Everyone ready for the storm? It is Sunday and the pundits are loose — and getting more dangerously silly as we approach election day. Here is a good summary of the Greatest Hits of the Pundit Business by Randall Monroe of xkcd fame:

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Sunday Daily Delawhere [10.28.12]

Filed in Delaware by on October 28, 2012 1 Comment
Sunday Daily Delawhere [10.28.12]

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Late Night Video — Tina Fey Has A Few Thoughts On Middle-Aged Men With $2 Haircuts Defining Rape

Filed in Open Thread by on October 27, 2012 3 Comments

You go girl!

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