Look at that drop:
There are no changes in our state by state electoral college map, but here is is again for our viewing pleasure:
NATIONAL–Gallup Tracking: Obama 50, Romney 44
NATIONAL–Ipsos/Reuters Tracking: Obama 49, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 47, Romney 40 (RV)
NATIONAL–Rasmussen Tracking: Romney 48, Obama 46
NATIONAL–YouGov: Obama 48, Romney 43
IOWA–PPP: Obama 51, Romney 44
MARYLAND–Gonzales Research: Obama 55, Romney 36
MASSACHUSETTS–Rasmussen: Obama 55, Romney 40
MISSOURI–Chilenski Strategies for Missouri Scout: Romney 50, Obama 44
PENNSYLVANIA–Franklin and Marshall: Obama 52, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 39 (RV)
Here is our latest Senate forecast. It remains unchanged in the final outlook, as there will be 53 Dems and 47 Rethugs if the election were held today.
I have to take the average of the multiple polls in one race when I get more than two showing different results on the same day. When I do that here, it is Flake 45.5, Carmona 42, or Slim GOP.
CONNECTICUT–PPP: Chris Murphy (D) 48, Linda McMahon (R) 42—Lean Dem
FLORIDA–Quinnipiac for CBS/NYT: Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 53, Connie Mack IV (R) 39—Strong Dem
MARYLAND–Gonzales Research: Sen. Ben Cardin (D) 50, Daniel Bongino (R) 22, Rob Sobhani (I) 21—Strong Dem
MISSOURI–Chilenski Strategies for Missouri Scout: Todd Akin (R) 48, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 47—Slim GOP
OHIO–Quinnipiac for CBS/NYT: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 40—Strong Dem
PENNSYLVANIA–Franklin and Marshall: Sen. Bob Casey (D) 48, Tom Smith (R) 38
PENNSYLVANIA–Quinnipiac for CBS/NYT: Sen. Bob Casey (D) 49, Tom Smith (R) 43
The average is Casey 48.5, Smith 40.5, or Lean Dem.
MISSOURI–Chilenski Strategies for Missouri Scout: Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 55, Dave Spence (R) 38
NEW HAMPSHIRE–Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the NH Democratic Party: Maggie Hassan (D) 48, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 46