New Delaware Polls

Filed in National by on October 12, 2010

Two new polls of Delaware voters were released today. The first was a poll of the Senate and House race from Monmouth University. It shows a widening lead for Chris Coons and a tightening race for the U.S. House.

Among likely voters, 57% say they will vote for Coons compared to 38% who support O’Donnell. While the race is basically tied in the southern part of the state (i.e. Kent and Sussex counties) – 46% for Coons to 47% for O’Donnell, the Democrat holds an overwhelming 63% to 33% advantage in New Castle County.

Coons is viewed favorably by 50% of the electorate and unfavorably by 33%. By comparison, O’Donnell has an upside down personal rating of 31% favorable to 58% unfavorable. The difference is even more stark when the question involves the candidates’ qualifications to serve. While nearly 2-in-3 (64%) likely Delaware voters say Coons is qualified to be a U.S. Senator, only 1-in-3 (35%) say the same of O’Donnell. Fully 57% say she is unqualified for the job.

Glen Urquhart is outperforming Christine O’Donnell, he trails Carney by only 9% probably because he doesn’t lose as many Republicans as Christine O’Donnell.

The poll finds Democrat John Carney holding a 53% to 44% lead over Republican Glen Urquhart in the race to fill Castle’s House seat. Carney has a 58% to 40% advantage in New Castle County, while Urquhart has a 51% to 45% edge in Kent and Sussex.

The gender breakdowns are interesting. Chris Coons has a favorable/unfavorable of 43/44 (-1) with men and 57/22 (+35) with women . Christine O’Donnell has a favorable/unfavorable of 39/49 (-10) with men and 22/68 (-46) with women.

A Fox News poll of the Senate race was also released today. It shows a 16% lead for Chris Coons 54%/38%. O’Donnell’s favorable/unfavorables are similar to the Monmouth poll 33/58 (-25). Worse for O’Donnell, Coons voters are more sure 92% compared to 83% for O’Donnell.

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Opinionated chemist, troublemaker, blogger on national and Delaware politics.

Comments (16)

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  1. jason330 says:

    Boil, boil, toil and trouble…. three weeks out means the GOP-wall-to-wall-lies-shit-storm is nigh.

  2. Did you see O’Donnell’s new website? Chris Coons is…the Taxman

    New ad:

  3. jason330 says:

    Anyone who does not think that the GOP has the next 23 days game planned out to the hour is living in a dream world.

  4. V says:

    he’s climbin’ in your windows, snatchin’ yo people up, tryin’ to rape ’em so y’all need to

    HIDE YO KIDS HIDE YO WIFE

    ’cause they rapin’ everybody up in here

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hMtZfW2z9dw

  5. V says:

    Also, seriously is Paolo Francisco that strapped for cash these days?
    I SWEAR that’s him narrating (considering the original has left us for the big trailer reel in the sky)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPBvFXf9Q2U

  6. skippertee says:

    When the Taxman’s testifyin’
    A faithless man believes
    He can tax you into poverty
    And bring you to your knees
    It’s a gospel kind of feelin’
    A touch of First state slide
    A song of pure revival
    And a style that’s sanctified

    Taxman, take my cash away
    Make my pain the same as all
    With every bill you play
    Jazzman, oh, Jazzman……

    With my DEEPEST apology’s to Carole King.
    And I’m just having fun here.
    Send a USED CONDOM to Christine at:
    Friends of Christine O’Donnell
    PO Box 3987
    Wilmington DE …19807
    Use her address as the RETURN address.

  7. WTFC says:

    Here is the best lie. “Glen Urquhart is outperforming Christine O’Donnell, he trails Carney by only 9% probably because he doesn’t lose as many Republicans as Christine O’Donnell.”

    What a dope. The loss is among independents you moron. The Republican numbers are miniscule.

    The only GOP plan is to protect the clowns at the HQ so they can protect their positions. They know the losses are going to be bad.The rest of the country will be good to the GOP but Delaware will suck bad.

  8. Boxwood says:

    WTFC, the folks at GOP-HQ filed an FEC complaint against O’Donnell. They’re in danger only if she wins, and that ain’t likely.

  9. Delbert says:

    And Poor Ron Williams, I believe he’s terminal at this point. Can not stop crying about the fact that Christine O’Donnell has snubbed the News Journal and other local liberal media. The last two paragraphs of his whining rant are beautiful. Since I can not improve upon them, I will purloin them:

    “This is a state that expects to see retail politics from their candidates, not an arms-length TV campaign.”

    (By “retail politics” I think he means bending over to let enemies in the media put the wood to her in print. Then his doubt kicks in:)

    “It’ll be interesting to see how Delawareans react to a U.S. Senate candidacy run by a carpetbagging New Jerseyan who doesn’t talk to the local media.”

    It certainly will be interesting. Christine has a lot of work to do in Upper New Castle County.

  10. Venus says:

    Sure you didn’t mean Uppity New Castle County?

  11. Since you asked so nicely WTFC here’s the breakdown from the Monmouth Poll:

    O’Donnell D 8% I 41% R 67%
    Coons D 91% I 51% R 26%
    Urquhart D 8% I 47% R 79%
    Carney D 91% I 47% R 19%

    So Urquhart performs quite a bit better with Republicans than O’Donnell, like I said. He does 12% better. He also is 6% better with Independents. Independents alone are not enough to help Urquhart’s numbers. Here’s the partisan breakdown of the poll.

    Household Party ID D 42% R 38% I 20%
    Self-Reported Voter ID (Likely voters) D 34% R 32% I 34%

    One might have an argument that Independents are overrepresented in this sample.

  12. Jason330 says:

    Castle picked up two percent in that poll. I wonder who would win is the GOP held a “do over” primary.

  13. cobbler says:

    Get ready for a nasty onslaught of ads by O’Donnell who has a larger war chest than Coons; that large lead of Coons will be cut in half in the two weeks, and Urquhart has started his nasty campaign today. This one ain’t over people. Better get your vote out in NCC.

  14. Geezer says:

    “that large lead of Coons will be cut in half in the two weeks,”

    Very doubtful. The number of undecideds in the race is too small.

  15. anon says:

    I love that she told Chris today at the Rotary debate to stop running negative campaign ads while her Coons the Taxman ad runs every half hour on cable and she has who knows how many more in the can. She played the same game with Castle–how dare you attack me while slinging mud herself.

    No way that many people are going to change their minds about her–she only seems to sink lower with each passing day. She has her hardcore base but that is not going to grow at this point.

  16. Liberal Joe says:

    In state races do you think that if their were polls done. They would show some Repulicans and Democrats loosing seats to any of the Libertarian candidates? I’m very interested in the 12th district race for the state house. After reading about the 2 candidates.