Daily Archives: February 17, 2010

Late Night Video — Paul Krugman

This is a lecture that Paul Krugman gave at MIT recently — The Economic Meltdown: What Have We Learned, if Anything? Krugman tried to explain how we got here AND why it seems so hard to wrap our minds around strong policy to fix it. In many ways, he thinks that we never really learned the lessons of the Great Depression, including that for all of the risk that bankers put us in, the greatest risk may just be a government policy apparatus that will be happier with a political fix rather than a systemic one.

“What actually seems to be happening is that by avoiding real disaster, we also managed to avoid confronting our own intellectual failings. … It’s as if it were still 2007: we’ve gone back to it. People are espousing the same positions, the same rhetoric about private sector dynamism and the evils of big government. The same denunciations of Keynesian economics are right back in vogue. ”

This video is about an hour long, so get your wine or cognac or single malt before settling in to watch:

Regular Folks

The Tea Partiers are just regular folks.

A tea party gathering in Asotin County, Washington turned more than a bit ugly on Saturday when a featured speaker actually called for the hanging of Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash), the fourth ranking Democrat in the Senate and a vulnerable re-election candidate.

“How many of you have watched the movie Lonesome Dove?,” asked an unidentified female speaker from the podium. “What happened to Jake when he ran with the wrong crowd? What happened to Jake when he ran with the wrong crowd. He got hung. And that’s what I want to do with Patty Murray.”

He’s just practicing his freedom of speech, right?

Rally for Health Care Reform

This is an announcement from Darlene Battle — and I hope that lots of you will be able to go to one of these, it’s a worthy cause:

Delaware Residents TO RALLY FOR HEALTH CARE REFORM: WE VOTED FOR CHANGE. GET IT DONE
Unions and Community Organizations To Tell Congress: Listen to Us, Not the Insurance Companies

On Thursday February 18th at 4:00pm and on Friday February 19th at 4:00pm, hundreds of supporters will come together at Thursday in Wilmington, Bethel AME church at 604 North Walnut Street and Friday in Newark, Newark Shopping Center on Main Street to send a message to Congress that it’s time to deliver on the change we need by finishing comprehensive health care reform now and finishing it right.

Wednesday February 17th is the kick off leaving from Philadelphia. This event is part of a nationwide push all week demanding Congress act now on health care reform and listen to everyday Americans, not the insurance lobbyists who are spending millions to block health care reform and protect their profits. Advocates will be joined by progressive organizers and supporters around the country to emphasize the pressing need to rein in corporate greed, regulate Wall Street, create more jobs, shore up our economy, address global warming, protect workers’ rights, and finally achieve quality, affordable health care for all Americans.

We are holding a rally at Bethel AME Church to ENCOURAGE and hear from Health Care Reform Supporters. We will hold up signs and cheering them on…
Delaware Residents are joining forces to say they’ve had enough of insurance companies’ denied claims, inflated profits, and soaring premiums. They will tell Congress: No excuses. No more politics. We need good health care we can count on now.

WHO: HCAN, SEIU, UFCW, MoneOn, Community Organizations and others

WHAT: Rally of encouragement to the walkers and telling healthcare stories.

WHERE: Thursday at Bethel AME Church 604 North, Wilmington, and Newark Shopping Center on Main St., Newark.
WHEN: Thursday February 18th,  4:00pm and Friday February 19th,  4:00pm

For more information go to: http://melaniesmarch.com/

Lions and Tigers and… Witches? Oh My.

So much for those Libertarian values.  Bob Barr, Libertarian extraordinaire, is worried about things that go bump in the night.

The US Air Force, at no less a prestigious location than the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs, has taken the notion of religious tolerance to a new level, in creating an outdoor worship area for pagans.  The site, apparently sacred to pagans, consists of an inner and an outer circle of large stones.  I’m sorry, but this truly is hilarious.  Don’t get me wrong, if someone “has little or no religion and delights in sensual pleasures and material goods,” which is the definition of a “pagan,” then I say live and let live.

But I have to tell you, if I were in the Air Force and was being commanded by an officer who practices hedonism as a religion (another part of the definition of “pagan”), and who dances around a circle of stones in the woods carrying a lighted candle, I would be more than a little worried about following him into battle.

Far be it for me to point out that following someone who believes in ingesting the body and blood of another deity into battle is just hunky-dory.

Just sayin’.

CPAC Childish Behavior Separates the Boys from the Girls

Aren’t they adorable!

The Washington Scene reports that this year’s CPAC will prominently feature a Nancy Pelosi piñata and a Harry Reid punching bag for guests to take turns beating

Boringly predictable, but I simply adored this next line – because it says so much!

“We’re hoping to have the females whack the piñata and males try their hand at a Harry Reid punching bag,”

Who knew hitting someone with a stick is more feminine?

Wednesday Open Thread

Did you ever have the feeling that half the week has gone with you even noticing? That’s the feeling I’m having this week. It’s already Wednesday! So, are you ready for an open thread?

The short, pain-filled life of King Tutankhamun:

King Tutankhamun, the boy pharaoh, was frail, crippled and suffered “multiple disorders” when he died at age 19 in about 1324 B.C., but scientists have now determined the most likely agents of death: a severe bout of malaria combined with a degenerative bone condition.

The study, reported Tuesday, turned up no evidence of foul play, as had been suspected by some historians and popular writers familiar with palace intrigues in ancient Egypt. Previous examinations of the Tut mummy had revealed a recent leg fracture, possibly from a fall. This might have contributed to a life-threatening condition in an immune system already weakened by malaria and other disorders, the researchers said.

One overall impression from the new research is that the royal family’s power and wealth did not spare them from ill health and physical impairment. Several mummies revealed instances of cleft palate, clubfeet, flat feet and bone degeneration. Four of the 11 mummies, including Tut’s, contained genetic traces of malaria tropica, the most severe form of the infection.

The researchers said that several other pathologies were diagnosed in the Tut mummy, including a bone disorder known as Kohler disease II, which alone would not have caused death. But he was also afflicted with avascular bone necrosis, a condition in which diminished blood supply to the bone leads to serious weakening or destruction of tissue. The finding led to the team’s conclusion that it and malaria were the most probable causes of death.

Tutankhamun had a cleft palate, curved spine, fragile bones and a club foot. He most likely had difficulty walking (there were hundreds of canes in his tomb). A lot of these conditions were caused by the inbreeding practiced by royal families of that era. Genetic testing showed Tutankhamun was the son of “heretic king” Ahkenaten and his sister.

Castling

[Ed. note – cassandra_m contributed considerably to this post.]

2009 presented quite a dilemma for Mike Castle. The Republican party required obedience from all its members for their policy of no to succeed, but Mike Castle needed to keep his moderate credentials for his voters in Delaware, a blue state. Mike Castle knew what he needed to do though, he needed to practice political Castling. In chess, castling is a defensive move where the King and the Rook change places to protect the King. Castle decided to vote no to saving our economy, along with almost all of his party, but wanted to get credit for money that comes to his district. Thus Castling was born – the Republican “trash and grab” strategy. Trash the stimulus and take credit for the benefits of the stimulus in his home district. Or, as liberalgeek described yesterday:

Isn’t “Castling” a move in chess that changes positions in a way that covers your ass?

Yes, yes it is.

Political Castling: a defensive move in politics, perfected by Mike Castle, where the politician switches positions, depending on the audience and what is popular at the time.

Today is the anniversary of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Conditions at this time in 2009 were crazy – we didn’t know whether we were about to plunge into another depression. The newly-inaugurated Obama administration proposed ARRA to help stabilize the economy and to put Americans to work. They managed to get the bill through Congress with the help of very few Republicans (and after significant weakening of the bill). Mike Castle voted with all House Republicans against the bill.   Then proceeded to come home and take credit for some of the benefits.  That’s the Castling move — saying one thing to your buds in DC and coming home to say something else to us.  But let’s take a look at what Mike Castle is telling his party in DC is so bad, but telling us is really good:

The most recent ARRA Interim Report (pdf) submitted by Lt. Governor Matt Denn to the Governor provides a good summary of the impact of of ARRA funding to Delaware’s economy (and a good summary of what Mike Castle voted against):

Delaware entities had been awarded approximately $1.48 billion in ARRA funds as of January 14, 2010. Of that amount, $968 million is administered by the State of Delaware, and as of January 14, 2010 the state had spent or encumbered at least $360 million of that amount. It is important to remember that this $968 million does not include significant portions of the stimulus package which are not administered by the state, including funds that are directed to local governments, funds that are made available directly to private entities, funds made available directly to colleges and universities, and personal income tax cuts.

Of the $968 million directly administered by the State of Delaware:

  • 36% went to closing the state’s budget deficit, mostly via increased in the federal government’s share of Medicaid
  • 19.5 % were sent directly to public education — local school districts, colleges and universities — expecting that maintaining teaching resources would be a priority use of these funds
  • 15% were allocated to DelDOT for transportation and transit projects
  • 10% awarded to programs helping Delawareans in economic distress (food assistance, unemployment, worker training)
  • 4% for weatherization projects
  • 4% for clean water and drinking projects
  • 3% for public housing construction and enhancements

(You can see a list of the grants as of 12/31/2009 here.) These percentages are approximate and do not include direct awards to local agencies like the COPS program or housing assistance for the families of wounded or killed soldiers or research grants. And as noted above, this report doesn’t even count up the amount of money returned to Delawareans in the form of tax relief, COBRA assistance, home buyer tax credits and so on.

It is tough to remember that this time last year, this economy was in freefall. The $1.4 billion sent to Delaware from ARRA helped to fill the hole left by that freefall. It was likely not enough, but it definitely kept this economy from getting a lot worse, and helped minimize draconian cuts in education, Medicaid and vital infrastructure improvements. Mike Castle has been regularly sending out press releases and showing up for check awards for projects directly funded by ARRA — he needs to tell us how much better off he thinks the state would have been without the $1.4 billion infusion over the last year.

Climate Change = Weird Weather

Funny how last weeks snow storms were all the rage on Right blogs while not a word was uttered concerning the unseasonably warm weather in Vancouver.  Typically Republican.  And while I think Thomas Friedman’s NYT Op-Ed is a step in the right direction I doubt it will change any minds on the Right – mainly because the Right doesn’t respect  or understand science.  They are quite happy in the Dark Ages, thank you very much.  Also why trudge through data by a physicist, Joseph Romm, when you can just listen to Donald Trump.  Talk about the dumbing down of America.

But back to Friedman’s article.

When you see lawmakers like Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina tweeting that “it is going to keep snowing until Al Gore cries ‘uncle,’ ” or news that the grandchildren of Senator James Inhofe of Oklahoma are building an igloo next to the Capitol with a big sign that says “Al Gore’s New Home,” you really wonder if we can have a serious discussion about the climate-energy issue anymore.

That’s the point.  The last thing Republicans want is a “serious discussion about the climate-energy issue.”  They simply don’t have the facts – or the intellectual capabilities – to understand science.  Reading, and then discussing, scientific research is beyond them, and why bother when it’s snowing.  To them global warming can be dismissed by the need to wear a jacket.  And the regularity they get away with these nonsense arguments is breath-taking.

They truly don’t understand science – which probably explains the glaring lack of scientists among their ranks.  So here is how science works (in a nutshell):  Disproving is as important as proving.  Got that?

The main problem for scientists is countering a political attack that cherry picks their research and/or lies about what they said.  My family is bursting with scientists and environmental engineers.  Ever try talking to these people?  Needless to say, their points and research aren’t designed for a world dominated by sound bites and bumper stickers.  Or simply, science is complex.  Which, again, brings us back to Friedman’s idea.

Although there remains a mountain of research from multiple institutions about the reality of climate change, the public has grown uneasy. What’s real? In my view, the climate-science community should convene its top experts — from places like NASA, America’s national laboratories, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Stanford, the California Institute of Technology and the U.K. Met Office Hadley Centre — and produce a simple 50-page report. They could call it “What We Know,” summarizing everything we already know about climate change in language that a sixth grader could understand, with unimpeachable peer-reviewed footnotes.

At the same time, they should add a summary of all the errors and wild exaggerations made by the climate skeptics — and where they get their funding. It is time the climate scientists stopped just playing defense. The physicist Joseph Romm, a leading climate writer, is posting on his Web site, climateprogress.org, his own listing of the best scientific papers on every aspect of climate change for anyone who wants a quick summary now.

I think this is a good idea.  I also know that this 50 page report won’t matter to the neanderthals on the right – mainly because they won’t read it.  But I can’t worry about them.  They are a lost cause who deny science with the same fervor they deny Obama’s birth certificate.   Amazing how physical evidence and research carry no weight with a group who insist that everything in the Bible is true and must be taken on faith.

I’d be happy to leave science to the scientists, but that’s not the way this game is shaping up.  It’s political.  So give me that 50 page report and I’ll fight that political fight because scientists have more important things to do than fight “intellectual giants” like Donald Trump and DeMint.

Sabotage Fail

When Evan Bayh announced his retirement, it suddenly put a fringe Democratic candidate Tamyra d’Ippolito into the spotlight. In Indiana to qualify to be on the ballot, you need to gather 500 signatures from each of Indiana’s 9 Congressional districts. On the Democratic side, only Evan Bayh had qualified. On the Republican side, there are 5 candidates including former Senator Dan Coats and former U.S. Rep. John Hostettler.

Evan Bayh’s announcement was timed so that there would be no time for Republicans to find better candidates and so that the Democratic party could pick its own candidate and avoid a primary. The only possible spoiler – Tamyra d’Ippolito, who had been gathering signatures to run in the Democratic primary. If she could qualify for the ballot she would be the Democratic candidate. She announced that she was short only 1000 signatures to qualify with 1.5 days to gather them. Republicans sensed an opportunity, and not long after this came out the blog Red State published a post (“An Inconvenient Democrat: meet Tamyra d’Ippolito (IN)”) urging their readers in Indiana to help get d’Ippolito on the ballot.

d’Ippolito filed her petitions yesterday and failed to qualify for the ballot. Not only did she fall short, she fell way short:

Terry Burns, the Democratic member of the Board of Voter Registration in Marion County, Indiana, informs TPMDC that Tamyra d’Ippolito does not have the required ballot-petition signatures needed to run in the Democratic primary for Senate. In fact, he said, she hardly has any in his area.

“We received this morning three signatures. And that is all we have received, so she will not qualify to be on the ballot,” said Burns. He also added: “Once the noon deadline passes, that’s it.” In addition, only two of the signatures came from the 7th District — the other was from the 5th District, which is partially located within Marion County.

I guess the Red State effort fell short, huh? Democrats will choose their candidate and right now their top choice looks to be former Sheriff and current Rep. Brad Ellsworth. The Republicans will have to battle it out in a May primary. So, even though the possibility of a Republican pick-up of Indiana’s Senate seat is more likely, it certainly isn’t guaranteed.

Evan Bayh is Full of It

After Evan Bayh announced his retirement yesterday, this is the soundbite (or at least portions of it) that I heard for the rest of the day (and this morning too):

“Two weeks ago, the Senate voted down a bipartisan commission to deal with one of the greatest threats facing our nation: our exploding deficits and debt. The measure would have passed, but seven members who had endorsed the idea instead voted ‘no’ for short-term political reasons,” he said. “Just last week, a major piece of legislation to create jobs — the public’s top priority — fell apart amid complaints from both the left and right. All of this and much more has led me to believe that there are better ways to serve my fellow citizens, my beloved state and our nation than continued service in Congress.”

If you hear this more than three or four times, it begins to sound like a fit of pique, or a temper tantrum. And as I kept hearing this, I starting thinking about Harry Reid’s spiking of the K Street Kickbacks in the Baucus/Grassley “jobs” bill. And while there were provisions in that bill that are designed to try to boost incentives to hire people, the lamenting of bipartisanship is coming because the opportunity to funnel alot of money to K Street interests have been set aside. Much of the features of the Baucus/Grassley boondoggle that are supposed to incentivize employment remain in Reid’s revision. What got spiked from this bill by Reid?

One of the top priorities of Big Business lobbyists is the “tax extender” issue, the extension of expiring tax credits worth tens of billions of dollars to major corporations, which is favored by Republicans. […]Tax extenders are basically a set of about 50 individual tax breaks that expire more or less every year, yet are continually renewed by Congress, says Howard Gleckman, senior research associate at the Washington, D.C.-based Tax Policy Center. They’re mostly for businesses and they tend to be very highly targeted. About $30 billion a year in tax revenue is transferred into the hands of a few special interests, Gleckman says. […]

Tax breaks that do little for employment except maybe among the lobbyist crowd. And the tax extender boondoggle is itself a bi-partisan effort:

“Congress has dozens of tax provisions that they have set out in their naked self-interests to expire automatically,” said Paul L. Caron, a tax law expert and professor at the University of Cincinnati College of Law.

It’s bad public policy, Caron argues, because it creates uncertainty for firms and essentially holds them hostage to members of Congress, who can shake them or their lobbyists down for campaign contributions when the annual bill comes up for a vote. “The public choice view of that, and the tax policy perspective on that, is it’s just naked extortion. Congress sets up these expiration dates so these things will expire or be in jeopardy of expiring to then extort campaign contributions from the affected folks,” said Caron, who also runs the TaxProf Blog. “It’s the benefit that keeps on giving.”

“As a policy matter, this is as bad as you could have it,” Caron said. “It’s just corporate welfare, and it’s keeping uncertainty out there” for the affected firms.

Congress does the same with corporate tax extenders as it does with policies that impact doctors and the poor. The American Medical Association must lobby each year to stave off a huge cut in Medicare reimbursements — the so-called doc-fix — which Congress refuses to make permanent. And Congress declines to index the minimum wage to inflation so unions must lobby for an increase in it and Democrats can take credit for raising it.

President Obama proposed in this year’s budget to make the tax credit for R&D permanent, and apparently Republicans don’t want that — they want a bigger tax credit and a continuation of the yearly tax extender scheme for it.

Using the failure of this bill, Bayh has been ale to whinge about a Congress that doesn’t get anything done. But given that Reid kept the jobs part of this bill and ditched the lobbyist giveaways, this means that Bayh is having on about the loss of bipartisanship in funneling taxpayer money to their lobbyist friends. And shame on Democrats for not shouting from the rooftops that they just killed alot of K St Pork. They should be pushing back on repubs dining out on the failure of this bill — and claiming some fiscal responsibility for not sending billions of dollars to lobbyists in this bill.

Piling on: A commenter from Balloon Juice says this:

Olbermann says a source in the Bayh camp cited “left bloggers” as a reason for his leaving. “People said mean things to me!” What a fucking loser.