Comments on: Call It! Predictions of Nov 2 Elections (Weekend Practice Run)

By: lizard

lizard — Tue, 03 Nov 2009 05:19:36 +0000

I forgot the Corruption factor… Corzine will win with tens of thousands of fradulant absentee ballots.

By: John Tobin

John Tobin — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:38:03 +0000

Hey David,
Guest posting? Is there a commission involved? Maybe this Corzine guy is not such a lock after all.
If there is a commission, I am going for the Alexander Dumes,pere deal. He wrote Count of Monte Cristo and got paid by length (line or page,I can’t remember). The original was 1200 pages.

By: John Tobin

John Tobin — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:20:19 +0000

Hey Cassandra,
I have not done in depth research on these two races (from CNN),but they look like they might be interesting races to follow from a social demographic standpoint:

In Atlanta, Georgia, there are many candidates hoping to succeed two-term Mayor Shirley Franklin. The top three candidates include City Councilwoman Mary Norwood, City Council President Lisa Borders and former state lawmaker Kasim Reed.
The southern city has a 35-year history of electing African-American mayors, but that could change this year if front-runner Mary Norwood, a white city councilwoman, is elected.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/10/25/2009.mayors/index.html

Margaret Chin stands 4 feet 11, but the veteran community activist is casting a long shadow over the political landscape in New York.
Chin is poised to win election next month as the first Chinese-American on the New York City Council to represent New York’s Chinatown, one of the largest concentrations of Chinese outside of mainland China.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/10/30/chinatown.candidate.chin/index.html

By: Republican David

Republican David — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 04:33:55 +0000

John, I bet you guest post that Corzine loses.

By: cassandra_m

cassandra_m — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 03:04:29 +0000

It was meant as a compliment, John. You’d never guess that this kid is in his first or second year of college — and he’s been doing this kind of breakdown for various races for years on dKos.

By: John Tobin

John Tobin — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 21:45:53 +0000

Hey Cassandra,
After looking at this guy’s analysis ,I take that as a high compliment. He is good. He breaks it down county by county and it looks like Corzine will eke it out.

By: cassandra_m

cassandra_m — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 20:59:05 +0000

The amazing Mr. Liberal over at dKos has his analysis up of the NJ Governor's race. This kid is like John Tobin's younger brother or something.

By: Unstable Isotope

Unstable Isotope — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 19:37:13 +0000

The official DL position is that all politics are local.

By: jason330

jason330 — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 19:33:07 +0000

Try harder.

By: lizard

lizard — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 18:59:32 +0000

I keep searching for an Ironic font, but have had no luck… same for a Sarcastic font. the search continues.

By: jason330

jason330 — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 18:44:18 +0000

I am always amused when Republicans throw around the term “Dear Leader” without any sense of irony.

By: lizard

lizard — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 18:40:24 +0000

sounds like the official position on the DL is:

Republican wins prove the race was about local issues.
Democrat wins prove the power and majesty of the Dear Leader.

By: Delaware Republican

Delaware Republican — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 18:34:58 +0000

Corzine by 2 only because of better GOTV
McDonell by 10
Hoffman by 4

Mike Prootack

By: John Tobin

John Tobin — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 16:45:43 +0000

I think Corzine will win. He would have to lose significantly among Democrats (which I don’t think is likely) or lose probably 2-1 among others ( which I doubt as well). The Democratic registration edge is almost 1.8-1,according the New Jersey Secretary of State:

“Secretary Wells announced that New Jersey has registered 5,224,880 voters for the general election. Of this number, 1,766,669 are registered Democrats; 1,061,899 are registered Republicans; 2,393679 choose unaffiliated as their party preference, and the remaining 2,633 registered under other parties.”

http://www.nj.gov/state/elections/2009-pressreleases/p2009-103009.html

By: MJ

MJ — Sun, 01 Nov 2009 14:33:50 +0000

I see David is drinking and smoking that wacky weed again. David, you’re supposed to have candy on Halloween, not booze and drugs. Smarten up. Just say no!