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Jason330 is a deep cover double agent working for the GOP. Don't tell anybody.

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UPDATED: Delaware Homestretch Over/Unders

October 16th, 2008 • Related • Filed Under
By jason330

Barack Obama (55%) (WHYY poll: 55.5%)

Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) (WHYY poll: 64.5%)

Jack Markell (57%) (WHYY Poll: 61.1%)

Karen HartleyNagle (40%) (WHYY Poll: 26.8%)

Matt Denn (53%) (WHYY Poll: 53.2%)

Karen Weldin Stewart (45%) (51%)* (WHYY Poll: 42.8%)

*KWS gains the most from an Obama/Biden race. I think this downticket sleeper will go to the Dems based on party affiliation alone. Nobody really knows the candidates and this is a Democratic year .

I added the WHYY numbers as apoint of comparison.

There Are 29 Responses So Far. »

  1. Comment by RSmitty on 16 October 2008 at 8:55 am:

    There’s that asterisk again. It’s like hedging a bet.

  2. Comment by jason330 on 16 October 2008 at 8:56 am:

    It was an explainy asterick not a hedgey asterick.

  3. Comment by RSmitty on 16 October 2008 at 9:02 am:

    Karen HartleyNagle (40%) (WHYY Poll: 26.8%)

    Ouch.

  4. Comment by jason330 on 16 October 2008 at 9:03 am:

    FYI:

    Barack Obama (55%) OVER
    Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) OVER
    Jack Markell (57%) OVER
    Karen HartleyNagle (40%) PUSH
    Matt Denn (53%) OVER
    Karen Weldin Steward (51%) OVER

  5. Comment by Anon on 16 October 2008 at 9:50 am:

    Karen Weldon Stewart is on Harris McDowell’s legislative staff. Discussion over. My vote goes to Brady.

  6. Comment by Disbelief on 16 October 2008 at 10:03 am:

    Karen Weldin Stewart claims to have run every major corporation in the world since 1879. Evidently, she also runs the shady Harris McDowell R-Way, LLC, whose motto is, “Delmarva Power is a Rich Friend!!!”

    And what’s up with her website showing an outdated poll? Thanks to Jason for putting up the WHYY figures showing Brady ahead.

  7. Comment by anon on 16 October 2008 at 10:12 am:

    Brady wins with big dem support and Tom Savage taking some votes off the dem ticket. So I take the under.

    Brady 52.5
    Stewart 44.5
    Savage 3

  8. Comment by delawaredem on 16 October 2008 at 10:26 am:

    Barack Obama (55%) OVER (I think 60%)
    Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) OVER (I think 67%)
    Jack Markell (57%) OVER (I think 62%)
    Karen HartleyNagle (40%) UNDER (38%)
    Matt Denn (53%) PUSH (exactly right)
    Karen Weldin Steward (51%) UNDER

  9. Comment by Disbelief on 16 October 2008 at 10:39 am:

    Is there any alcohol-based prize for the closest?

  10. Comment by TommyWonk on 16 October 2008 at 10:49 am:

    Barack Obama (55%) Over
    Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) Over
    Jack Markell (57%) Over
    Karen HartleyNagle (40%) Under
    Matt Denn (53%) Over
    Karen Weldin Steward (51%) Under

    Here’s one to rile the blogosphere:
    Gerald Brady vs. Tyler Nixon (60%) Over
    Any takers?

  11. Comment by cassandra_m on 16 October 2008 at 11:04 am:

    Barack Obama (55%) Over
    Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) Over
    Jack Markell (57%) Over
    Karen HartleyNagle (40%)Under
    Matt Denn (53%) Over
    Karen Weldin Steward (51%) Under

    And to Disbelief — I think the prize is you buying all winners the single malts of their choice…. ;)

  12. Comment by Disbelief on 16 October 2008 at 11:08 am:

    Cassandra, if it somes with a screw-top, as opposed to a real cork, I can afford it.

  13. Comment by delawaredem on 16 October 2008 at 11:09 am:

    Tommy….who gets the 60 in the Brady-Nixon race?

    If it is Nixon, under.

  14. Comment by RSmitty on 16 October 2008 at 11:32 am:

    Put this back up on the weekend-prior (or the Monday) to the election. I’ll make my winning choices then.

    Is there any alcohol-based prize for the closest?
    Whatever it is, just don’t ask Jason to mail it to you. That’s experience talking.

  15. Comment by jason330 on 16 October 2008 at 11:34 am:

    I’ll put it back up – but holding off until next week makes it harder for me to set the line.

    The point is to get the same number of bets on each side so the house makes money regardless of the outcome.

  16. Comment by RSmitty on 16 October 2008 at 11:36 am:

    The point is to get the same number of bets on each side so the house makes money regardless of the outcome.

    I love how you have this compulsive need of honesty when addressing me. I affect you. Awesome! :-D

  17. Comment by jason330 on 16 October 2008 at 11:40 am:

    So make your picks or I’ll say something bad about Dwight Eisenhower.

    Then you’ll be sorry.

  18. Comment by cassandra_m on 16 October 2008 at 11:40 am:

    Disbelief @12 — somehow I’m just grateful that you aren’t talking about alcohol from boxes.

  19. Comment by RSmitty on 16 October 2008 at 11:42 am:

    So, I get to change my picks before Election Day?

    Barack Obama (55%) OVER (I think 57%)
    Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) PUSH
    Jack Markell (57%) PUSH
    Karen HartleyNagle (40%) UNDER (35%)
    Matt Denn (53%) UNDER (I think 52%)
    Karen Weldin Steward (51%) UNDER (I think 46%)

  20. Comment by TommyWonk on 16 October 2008 at 12:15 pm:

    To be clear, Gerald Brady (60%) Over

  21. Comment by Nancy Willing on 16 October 2008 at 1:56 pm:

    she also runs the shady Harris McDowell R-Way, LLC, whose motto is, “Delmarva Power is a Rich Friend!!!”
    *
    WTF?? Did she say this on the DD interview or something?

    This is the bull shit the GOP and DL is spreading? She has nothing to do with this company.
    You really should fucking stop being total asswipes because this person has a legislative aide job and is working for someone you hate.
    That is pretty sick in the first place but to put out lies that she is somehow involved in any of Harris McDowell’s businesses outside of leg hall (she is no longer working at leg hall, BTW) is just plain wrong. Shame on Jason and Geek for starting this rumor-mongering.

  22. Comment by liberalgeek on 16 October 2008 at 2:20 pm:

    Bullshit Nancy. She is.

  23. Comment by Disbelief on 16 October 2008 at 3:58 pm:

    What’s the difference between a “total asswipe” and a partial asswipe?

  24. Comment by liberalgeek on 16 October 2008 at 4:00 pm:

    hopefully a second partial asswipe.

  25. Comment by Nancy Willing on 16 October 2008 at 5:43 pm:

    No Geek, she isn’t. Put out your proof.
    What a sick joke this blog is becoming.
    She was a leg hall Senate aide. You are simply lying.
    So you hate Harris McDowell. Fine. Don’t shit all over an employee because of it.

  26. Comment by Jerry on 16 October 2008 at 6:55 pm:

    Karen Weldin Stewart (45%) (51%)* (WHYY Poll: 42.8%)

    I have been researching this particular race a little bit more, and I find it very hard to believe that an individual with a highly dubious resume is leading a guy who has been writing Delaware Insurance Law in the legislature for over a decade. Not to mention he has already proven to be an efficient, reliable elected official as the Sussex Recorder of Deeds. There’s no way Karen should be leading Brady.

  27. Comment by liberalgeek on 16 October 2008 at 11:42 pm:

    Nancy – I have proof, but I’d burn my source if I revealed it. Would an invoice with RWay and Her name suffice, do you suppose?

  28. Comment by Disbelief on 17 October 2008 at 8:54 am:

    Nancy, will you answer yes or no? Security guard at Lowes? Yes or no? (although I do hear that part-time glorified greeters kick-ass in the insurance regulation world)

  29. Pingback by DEwind: The Week That Was October 13th on 20 October 2008 at 7:01 am:

    [...] gives his overs/unders for many of the local election and slams Delaware’s MSM for falling for Bill Lee’s [...]

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