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Predictions Thread — I Must Have Those Ruby Slippers Edition

May 6th, 2008 by cassandra_m · 11 Comments

All right, so you’ve heard that there is another primary election tonite, so everybody get your prognosticator’s hat on and tell us:

1. Dem Finish Order IN

2. Dem Final percentage IN

3. Dem Finish Order NC

4. Dem Finish Order NC

5. Overall (include both IN and NC) Delegate Net for the evening (Candidate +/- x)
Bonus Question:
1. McCain winning percentage both states.

2. The Media narrative on how this long primary makes McCain the shoe-in in November.

Winner is the closest guess on all 5 main questions and the bonus questions are tiebreakers (and may make you the winner if the answer is funny enough). Winner gets a copy of this great book.

All you readers and lurkers have until 6:30 EDT to get your prediction in.

Tags: Uncategorized

11 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Pandora // May 6, 2008 at 2:05 pm

    Can I just say… Whatever XStryker says??

    Media Spin: Whatever keeps HRC in the race and the MSM’s ratings up!

  • 2 Von Cracker // May 6, 2008 at 2:29 pm

    I’ll abstain from this one and let the lessers have a chance! ;-)

    IN - Obama by the height of the avegage radical black preacher.

    NC - HRC by the weight of a gas pump.

  • 3 cassandra_m // May 6, 2008 at 2:40 pm

    Only one person per thread can steal XStryker’s homework.

    And you should go ahead and guess, VonC — get your streak on!

  • 4 Von Cracker // May 6, 2008 at 2:52 pm

    Ok then.

    IN - HRC 51.2%; Obama 48.8%

    NC - Obama 56.5%; HRC 43.5%

  • 5 liberalgeek // May 6, 2008 at 2:57 pm

    IN - Obama 50.1; Clinton 49.9
    NC - Obama 53.5;Clinton 46.5

    Wednesday Morning Hillary drops out.

    I can dream, can’t I?

  • 6 cassandra_m // May 6, 2008 at 3:14 pm

    There’s 5 questions in this bet — make sure to include overall delegate net.

  • 7 Von Cracker // May 6, 2008 at 3:33 pm

    Ok - just the primary dels:

    Obama +13 (65[NC]+35[IN]=100); HRC -13 (50[NC]+_37[IN]=87.

  • 8 FSP // May 6, 2008 at 4:01 pm

    Whatever is close enough to make this grand experiment in Democracy continue for another month.

  • 9 X Stryker // May 6, 2008 at 4:27 pm

    IN: Clinton 53.25, Obama 46.75
    NC: Obama 55.5, Clinton 43.5, No pref 0.6, Gravel 0.4
    Clinton nets 4 dels from IN, Obama nets 11 dels from NC, overall Obama net 7 delegates

    IN: McCain wins 80%
    NC: McCain wins 90%

    Media spin: It’s a tie, the race drags on. Smart guys like Olbermann remember that Obama is now much, much closer to his magic number.

  • 10 Pandora // May 6, 2008 at 4:42 pm

    Yeah, what X Stryker said! I am so riding coat tails!

  • 11 Rebecca // May 6, 2008 at 5:15 pm

    X Stryker is the man.

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