What I’ve Learned About the Early Primaries

Filed in Uncategorized by on January 6, 2008

I have to thank Dave Burris.  I didn’t get it until I listened to what he was saying.  He has been battered by polls for the past 6 months that showed that Mitt was doing poorly nationally.  Dave pointed out that nationally didn’t matter so much at the beginning.  Mitt was spending to win Iowa and New Hampshire.  Then that momentum would carry the day in the other primaries.

That is why I am so excited that Obama did so well in Iowa.  Now he leads in the latest polls in New Hampshire.  Like a running back, I can now see the hole in the line opening up in front of Obama.  A win here and he is the candidate to beat for the rest of the month.

Things don’t look so hot for Mitt, though.  In 6 of 7 NH polls, Mitt is losing to McCain (by as much as 14 points in one).  We’ll know how scared Mitt is when he starts letting loose on McCain.  So far all of the McCain talk has been “Great American” talk.  Look for the back channel, “Older than Dirt” comments to start flying.  If something doesn’t change, Mitt will start looking for a VP spot by March.

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  1. Outside the Perimeter: The Open Legislature Edition « kavips | January 7, 2008
  1. jason330 says:

    Iowa was “do or die” for Flipp. That’s why he spent so crazily. it looks like McCain is going to be the “stop Huckabee” choice.

    All and all – (even though it worked this time) the system stinks and puts way too much power in the hands of Iowans.

  2. liz allen says:

    Jason: as I recall I posted the advisors to Obama, which appear to have been taken down. I know you saw the list of the candidates and their advisors, didnt you Jace! Was my post censored, hows that fit with “openness”, it was published document?

    And with that knowledge you continue to support that man. I thought you youngsters wanted a better environment….Obama for nukes. I thought you wanted to take on corruption by the corporates: Obama supports them. Edwards takes no Pac or corporate funding Obamas wife works for insurance company profiteers….am I missing something?

  3. FSP says:

    Don’t thank me. You may have your DL pass revoked.

  4. jason330 says:

    Oh jeez. Is this going to be you beating up on the democratic nominee until november?

    Try this liz, find one nice thing to say about Obama because (and I hope you know this deep down) he is way better than Huckabee.

    As for the censorship, I have no idea what you are talking about.

  5. Jason330 says:

    Okay Liz. I’ll check that out.

  6. Steve Newton says:

    Stop being paranoid Liz.
    Your post on advisors is still there in the responses to “Boy. And I thought I hated Iowa for giving us John Kerry.”

  7. Dana Garrett says:

    I’ll tell you one thing about the debates that I suspect most Americans recognize as well: the Democratic Presidential debates are on a much higher caliber than the Republican ones.

    The Democrats are debating issues of change, of a different way and vision for America. But the Republican candidates are squabbling over the few incidental remaining scraps of Republican conservatism that hasn’t been throughly discredited by the George Bush presidency during the last 7 years.

  8. anon says:

    The Republican debates are fun to watch for Dems. The GOP coalition is so splintered, none of their candidates can even open their mouths without offending at least one of the conservative factions they need to win.

  9. liberalgeek says:

    Liz, you are killing me with your crap. Please figure out how blogs work before you go off half-cocked. This is the second time in a month and frankly, I’m sick of it. We aren’t, haven’t and won’t censor you.

    We will let your byline serve as a guide to self-censorship.

  10. liz allen says:

    Okay, youngsters….while you continue to post on your favorite democrat Obama….check out Judicial Watch. They have listened the 10 most corrupt politicans….OBAMA, CLINTON, GUILIANI AND ROMNEY. All I am saying is do your homework…which obviously you havent, or you would know the background of Obama and these other corrupt politicans, and hopefully you wouldnt be supporting them. If your interested in the environment, why the hell would you support Obama…who is for nuclear power. Edwards is opposed to nukes, will force coal fired plants to have emission controls, refuses to have any lobbyists in the WH or on his payroll…will go after corporate america strangling american workers, sending our jobs overseas. Geek, self censorship is crap. Information that has been published should be censored. The item I put up, was up I saw there at least 2 hours and then it was gone. I will post it again later today and see if it stays up. Perhaps too much information is too much for some people who are too busying pushing their candidate without having researched the candidate. I do my research.

  11. liberalgeek says:

    Not about the InterWebz you don’t.

    Is this your precious little comment?

    http://delawareliberal.net//2008/01/04/boy-and-i-thought-i-hated-iowa-for-giving-us-john-kerry/#comment-18051

    It has not moved. And by self-censorship I meant that people can choose to skip over anything labelled with “liz allen.”

    Personally, with every comment you make I’m happier that you moved to IPOD.

  12. Steve Newton says:

    So Liz you prefer Edwards to Obama because he favors continuing to burn fossil fuels?

  13. I prefer Edwards because he is presenting the most aggressive platform for change. Obama is cagey enough to keep his powder dry until he secures the nomination.
    My ticket is Edwards/Dodd but I don’t think Edwards has a real shot.